Chile v Scotland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
11 – 52
20 July 2024Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago
What the model says about Chile v Scotland
- Kick-off
- 19:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 563 m
- Temperature
- 10.1 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 7 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
-33.46438,-70.61062 · imagery by Esri · Google Maps
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 9 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Chile
- 1Javier Carrasco
- 2Augusto Böhme
- 3Matias Dittus
- 4Clemente Saavedra
- 5Javier Eissmann
- 6Martin Sigren
- 7Raimundo Martínez
- 8Alfonso Escobar
- 9Lucas Berti
- 10Tomás Salas
- 11Nicolas Garafulic
- 12Santiago Videla
- 13Domingo Saavedra
- 14Cristóbal Game
- 15Diego Warnken
Replacements
Scotland
- 1Nathan McBeth
- 2Dylan Richardson
- 3Will Hurd
- 4Alex Craig
- 5Ewan Johnson
- 6Gregor Brown-6.0
- 7Jamie Ritchie-7.2
- 8Josh Bayliss
- 9Gus Warr
- 10Ben Healy
- 11Arron Reed
- 12Sione Tuipulotu-6.9
- 13Kyle Steyn+2.9
- 14Jamie Dobie
- 15Kyle Rowe+7.4
Replacements
- 16Patrick Harrison
- 17Pierre Schoeman
- 18Javan Sebastian
- 19Max Williamson+11.5
- 20Rory Darge-13.6
- 21Adam Hastings+8.7
- 22Stafford McDowall+9.8
- 23Matt Currie
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Discipline
| Chile | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | — |
Scoring
| Chile | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tries | 8 |
| — | Conversions | 6 |
| 2 | Penalty goals | — |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.