Team profiles

What a team looks like from its results — how it scores, how much its margins swing, and how much home is worth.

66 teams with at least 8 matches in the last 5 years. Profiles describe a window rather than all history, anchored to the most recent match in the database. A team's identity in 1950 says nothing about it now, and averaging the two describes a team that never existed.

South Africa922512 ±766578.5%33.618.1+15.419.6+5.5LWWWL
New Zealand912476 ±726669.7%34.721.2+13.524.1+6.3WWLLL
Ireland872351 ±775780.7%31.917.5+14.421.9+7.0LWWWW
France862301 ±745974.6%34.522.4+12.020.2+4.7WWLWL
England842235 ±726357.1%28.921.5+7.421.9+3.1WWLLL
Scotland832193 ±736157.4%30.421.5+9.023.8+11.2WLWLW
Australia802101 ±726536.9%24.728.8-4.116.8+7.7LLWDW
Argentina782036 ±715843.1%27.528.4-0.924.0+0.7DLLLW
Georgia741899 ±915168.6%34.218.9+15.326.9+12.0WWWLW
Wales731868 ±765925.4%19.930.9-11.020.0+0.7LLWWL
Japan731846 ±865040.0%27.031.3-4.326.2+15.2WWWLL
Fiji731841 ±874153.7%26.725.1+1.622.8+7.3LWLLL
Italy721827 ±765736.8%22.330.7-8.426.8+10.8LLLLW
Portugal671638 ±854755.3%32.024.3+7.631.1+11.8WWLWW
Spain651566 ±874555.6%29.828.8+1.023.4-1.7LWDWL
USA641537 ±863548.6%24.828.7-3.930.3+11.2LLWWW
Chile641530 ±973151.6%27.227.6-0.427.4+18.4LWWLW
Uruguay631520 ±873237.5%25.130.3-5.228.6+13.6LDLWW
Samoa631512 ±843145.2%24.924.2+0.619.7+16.2LLWDW
Tonga621454 ±883432.4%22.032.6-10.625.6+31.8LLWLW
Hong Kong China571297 ±1032568.0%37.623.6+14.037.3+35.8WLLWW
Zimbabwe571293 ±951764.7%27.521.2+6.219.2+2.3LLLWW
Belgium561266 ±923551.4%22.823.6-0.822.8+6.8WWWLL
Romania561265 ±875540.0%23.532.6-9.128.5+20.8WDLLL
Canada561255 ±893225.0%23.334.2-11.022.4+6.8WLLWL
Namibia551240 ±952552.0%30.030.9-0.938.1+26.3WLLWL
Algeria531142 ±1131070.0%23.215.7+7.517.0-2.5WLWLW
Mexico511080 ±1011070.0%30.922.5+8.419.7+28.1WWLLW
Cayman Islands501048 ±103966.7%31.121.1+10.024.8+1.8WWWWL
Netherlands501046 ±1013033.3%24.232.4-8.234.8+13.8WLLLL
Paraguay501042 ±991338.5%23.041.2-18.237.6+28.0WWLLW
Poland491014 ±982556.0%28.625.4+3.333.5+13.8WWWLW
Kenya49999 ±931947.4%22.929.5-6.628.2+19.9LLWWW
Switzerland48984 ±972454.2%26.532.3-5.839.2+19.3LWWLL
Czechia47954 ±952576.0%42.521.7+20.823.5+7.8LWWWW
Brazil46926 ±972133.3%29.029.9-0.927.2+17.9LLLLL
Senegal46923 ±991040.0%24.828.5-3.718.8+4.8WWLLW
United Arab Emirates46915 ±1051060.0%42.933.7+9.250.3-40.8LWWLL
Korea46906 ±1031233.3%27.832.3-4.532.3+32.1LLLWL
Colombia45862 ±108944.4%35.132.2+2.956.1+43.9WWLWW
Germany42763 ±1002722.2%17.935.9-18.123.3+1.2LLLLW
Sweden42760 ±962373.9%31.726.3+5.427.9+11.4LWLWW
Uganda41733 ±911650.0%20.924.5-3.616.1+5.9WLLLL
Malaysia39680 ±1001127.3%18.847.1-28.333.3+9.1LWWLL
Cote D'Ivoire37611 ±99922.2%15.027.3-12.318.0+12.0LLLWL
Malta34507 ±1081070.0%26.014.4+11.614.1-6.0WWWLW
Ukraine34491 ±1001553.3%31.928.5+3.337.7-2.8WWWWW
Croatia32436 ±962642.3%25.831.3-5.526.5+14.1WWWLL
Lithuania32424 ±942420.8%21.234.8-13.625.3+13.2WLLLL
Thailand32414 ±104850.0%17.221.6-4.49.5-3.1WLLWW
Luxembourg30343 ±1011650.0%27.526.4+1.134.1+4.5WWLLL
Denmark27232 ±1011855.6%26.721.6+5.128.4+10.1LLWLL
Latvia26212 ±1021353.8%28.422.8+5.626.5+8.3WDLLW
Austria26194 ±971163.6%36.822.5+14.334.1-5.6LWLWW
Moldova25184 ±981361.5%23.618.8+4.822.5+20.1WLWLL
Israel24154 ±1021136.4%22.225.8-3.622.0+19.7WLLWL
Serbia23100 ±971560.0%26.922.5+4.420.1+0.4LLWWW
Bulgaria19-29 ±981560.0%24.625.5-0.924.7+33.7DLLWL
Finland19-52 ±1001369.2%28.216.9+11.228.5+2.0LWDWW
Andorra17-118 ±981330.8%19.022.4-3.414.4+1.7LLWWL
Slovenia15-163 ±1051625.0%15.138.3-23.224.6+26.8LLLWL
Turkey13-231 ±1131612.5%16.630.9-14.221.0+12.6DLLLL
Hungary13-251 ±981414.3%23.337.9-14.632.6-38.3LLLLL
Bosnia & Herzegovina8-423 ±1011020.0%17.234.8-17.619.0-12.4LLLLL
Norway1-651 ±113150.0%7.542.0-34.516.9+10.1LLLLL

Provisional — 1 teams

Too few matches on record to place the rating. The other columns still describe the matches they have played. See the rankings.

Barbados783 ±128862.5%47.915.6+32.239.9+22.0LWWLW

Who resembles whom

The same shape columns, reduced to two dimensions. Select a team to open its profile.

Teams with too few matches to rate confidently, which are most of the outliers.

Teams that play alike sit close together. The two axes hold 72% of the variation between teams. Component 1 (42%) rises with more average margin and win rate. Component 2 (30%) rises with more high-scoring matches and margin swing.

29 of 66 teams sit too close together to name without covering another team's point, so they are drawn unlabelled. Every dot is still a link to that team, and hovering one names it.

Reading the columns

Rating
Glicko-2, with its uncertainty after it. A large figure means the rating rests on few recent matches.
Swing
How much the winning margin varies. A high number is a team whose result is hard to call even when its rating is not.
Home
Points per match better at home than away, over the same window.
Recent
Last five results, most recent first.
Generated 19/10/2026
Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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