Team profiles

What a team looks like from its results — how it scores, how much its margins swing, and how much home is worth.

45 teams with at least 8 matches in the last 5 years. Profiles describe a window rather than all history, anchored to the most recent match in the database. A team's identity in 1950 says nothing about it now, and averaging the two describes a team that never existed.

South Africa852108 ±786576.9%33.017.6+15.419.6+9.0WWWWW
New Zealand791982 ±726572.3%34.620.3+14.324.0+2.7WWWWL
Ireland741884 ±775780.7%31.917.5+14.421.9+7.0LWWWW
France721842 ±745974.6%34.522.4+12.020.2+4.7WWLWL
England681763 ±716357.1%28.921.5+7.421.9+3.1WWLLL
Scotland661730 ±746157.4%30.421.5+9.023.8+11.2WLWLW
Argentina611617 ±716040.0%26.128.9-2.824.5+1.8LLWLL
Australia591583 ±726240.3%24.827.9-3.117.1+9.3WWWLL
Wales511425 ±755925.4%19.930.9-11.020.0+0.7LLWWL
Fiji511412 ±843246.9%24.327.5-3.121.8-3.2LLLWL
Italy481367 ±765736.8%22.330.7-8.426.8+10.8LLLLW
Japan461310 ±854231.0%22.933.4-10.522.7+19.3LLLLW
Georgia411215 ±892441.7%21.623.8-2.119.8+23.4LWWLL
Chile401202 ±1022850.0%26.227.1-0.827.9+20.1LWDWL
Uruguay391177 ±873141.9%24.028.6-4.629.3+15.9WWLWW
Samoa381150 ±841844.4%22.724.7-2.017.1+9.6LDLWL
Portugal361121 ±1051936.8%27.631.0-3.436.5+17.7WWLLL
USA341088 ±883046.7%24.728.2-3.531.2+10.0WLLLL
Spain331064 ±951442.9%23.731.6-7.922.3-17.1LWWLL
Tonga27938 ±892433.3%22.132.2-10.128.1+38.7LLLLW
Namibia27930 ±1201330.8%19.642.5-22.835.0+8.5LWLWL
Romania19788 ±832630.8%17.937.5-19.729.0+37.2LLWLL
Canada13661 ±911822.2%22.833.5-10.719.3-0.9LLLLL

Provisional — 22 teams

Too few matches on record to place the rating. The other columns still describe the matches they have played. See the rankings.

Denmark2426 ±2051172.7%26.611.7+14.919.9+25.5WWWWL
Sweden2106 ±1671471.4%29.926.0+3.922.6-10.4LWWWW
Czechia2095 ±1481471.4%38.122.1+15.917.9-4.2WWWLW
Mexico1882 ±172862.5%30.825.2+5.520.8+31.2WLLWW
Moldova1864 ±202955.6%24.718.2+6.426.0+36.3LLWWL
Latvia1658 ±250955.6%24.721.6+3.124.0-0.2LLWWW
Switzerland1647 ±2571090.0%41.018.4+22.628.3+21.9LWWWW
Croatia1456 ±1401526.7%26.333.4-7.117.4+8.0LLDWL
Finland1437 ±2481080.0%30.116.6+13.531.9+9.0WWLWW
Luxembourg1391 ±2101050.0%30.225.4+4.834.6+7.6LLLDL
Andorra1341 ±208944.4%17.919.1-1.220.2+5.0WLWLW
Ukraine1333 ±1901030.0%26.437.0-10.636.9-14.0WLLLL
Lithuania1326 ±1491421.4%21.831.9-10.120.0+6.2LLLLW
Bulgaria1297 ±227966.7%25.326.3-1.023.9+37.8LWLLW
Kenya1082 ±1691145.5%21.529.6-8.131.9+32.1WWLLW
Slovenia981 ±253837.5%17.838.1-20.429.1+23.2WLLWW
Paraguay963 ±175933.3%19.849.2-29.437.4+30.2WWLLW
Hong Kong China937 ±1511764.7%37.121.9+15.138.0+30.9LWLWW
Uganda608 ±1781050.0%20.623.1-2.515.7+13.0LLWWL
Brazil510 ±1461225.0%25.131.7-6.626.4+24.8LLLLL
Norway433 ±259100.0%8.240.2-32.017.5+12.4LLLLL
Hungary120 ±224825.0%24.632.2-7.634.8-62.2LLWLL

Who resembles whom

The same shape columns, reduced to two dimensions. Select a team to open its profile.

Teams that play alike sit close together. The two axes hold 67% of the variation between teams. Component 1 (45%) rises with more average margin, less points conceded. Component 2 (22%) rises with more high-scoring matches and margin swing.

10 of 45 teams sit too close together to name without covering another team's point, so they are drawn unlabelled. Every dot is still a link to that team, and its name is in the tooltip.

Reading the columns

Rating
Glicko-2, with its uncertainty after it. A large figure means the rating rests on few recent matches.
Swing
How much the winning margin varies. A high number is a team whose result is hard to call even when its rating is not.
Home
Points per match better at home than away, over the same window.
Recent
Last five results, most recent first.
Generated 8/20/2026
Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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