Benetton Treviso vs Bulls
What the model says about this fixture, at either ground and at a neutral one, with the record behind it. Ratings as at 2026-10-19.
Benetton Treviso 32.5%draw 2.5%65.0% BullsBulls 86.6%draw 2.5%10.9% Benetton TrevisoBenetton Treviso 20.9%draw 2.5%76.6% BullsEach figure is 5,000 simulations of this fixture. The score is where those runs are centred, not a likely scoreline — a rugby result is spread far too widely for any single one to be likely.
Make it your call
Pick your own scoreline for Benetton Treviso v Bulls, see where it lands among the simulated runs, and save a card to post.
Build a shareable predictionHow the runs finished
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations of this fixture. Bars right of the centre are Benetton Treviso wins; the faded bars at each end hold everything beyond 75 points.
Margin percentiles
- Middle 8 in 10
- Middle half
- Median
- Level
- Average
Eight runs in ten finished between 24 Bulls and 14 Benetton Treviso, half of them between 13 Bulls and 4 Benetton Treviso, with the middle run at 4 Bulls.
Those are gaps rather than scorelines. How much scoring the match produces is drawn separately — between 30 and 68 points in eight runs out of ten — so one bar covers many scores. The middle run above is 21-17 on a tight afternoon and 31-27 on an open one.
Why Benetton Treviso are not favoured
How the model arrives at the chance of Benetton Treviso winning. It starts at an even 50%, and each line below adds to that or takes from it, in percentage points (pp): a bar to the right helps Benetton Treviso, a bar to the left helps Bulls.
Benetton Treviso 1413, Bulls 1862 — 449 points, favouring Bulls
Benetton Treviso are at home
Recent results, past meetings between the two sides, and days of rest. It has a limit, so it can nudge the rating but never overrule it.
Head to head
Benetton Treviso0–0–6Bulls6 meetings, 2022 to 2026 · Bulls by 15.8 on average
| Date | Match | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Bulls 45–19 Benetton Treviso | United Rugby Championship | Loftus Versfeld |
| 2024-10-25 | Benetton Treviso 15–17 Bulls | United Rugby Championship | Stadio Comunale di Monigo |
| 2024-06-08 | Bulls 30–23 Benetton Treviso | United Rugby Championship | Loftus Versfeld |
| 2024-05-18 | Bulls 56–35 Benetton Treviso | United Rugby Championship | Loftus Versfeld |
| 2022-10-21 | Benetton Treviso 22–44 Bulls | United Rugby Championship | Stadio Comunale di Monigo |
The 5 most recent meetings; the record above covers all 6. None of this feeds the forecast: both ratings already contain these results.