Benetton Treviso vs Clermont Auvergne
What the model says about this fixture, at either ground and at a neutral one, with the record behind it. Ratings as at 2026-10-19.
Benetton Treviso 57.8%draw 2.5%39.7% Clermont AuvergneClermont Auvergne 72.3%draw 2.5%25.2% Benetton TrevisoBenetton Treviso 41.3%draw 2.5%56.2% Clermont AuvergneEach figure is 5,000 simulations of this fixture. The score is where those runs are centred, not a likely scoreline — a rugby result is spread far too widely for any single one to be likely.
Make it your call
Pick your own scoreline for Benetton Treviso v Clermont Auvergne, see where it lands among the simulated runs, and save a card to post.
Build a shareable predictionHow the runs finished
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations of this fixture. Bars right of the centre are Benetton Treviso wins; the faded bars at each end hold everything beyond 75 points.
Margin percentiles
- Middle 8 in 10
- Middle half
- Median
- Level
- Average
Eight runs in ten finished between 15 Clermont Auvergne and 21 Benetton Treviso, half of them between 6 Clermont Auvergne and 11 Benetton Treviso, with the middle run at 2 Benetton Treviso.
Those are gaps rather than scorelines. How much scoring the match produces is drawn separately — between 31 and 72 points in eight runs out of ten — so one bar covers many scores. The middle run above is 21-19 on a tight afternoon and 32-30 on an open one.
Why Benetton Treviso are favoured
How the model arrives at the chance of Benetton Treviso winning. It starts at an even 50%, and each line below adds to that or takes from it, in percentage points (pp): a bar to the right helps Benetton Treviso, a bar to the left helps Clermont Auvergne.
Benetton Treviso 1413, Clermont Auvergne 1466 — 53 points, favouring Clermont Auvergne
Benetton Treviso are at home
Recent results, past meetings between the two sides, and days of rest. It has a limit, so it can nudge the rating but never overrule it.
Head to head
Benetton Treviso0–0–1Clermont Auvergne1 meeting, 2024 to 2024 · Clermont Auvergne by 28.0 on average
| Date | Match | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-07 | Clermont Auvergne 28–0 Benetton Treviso | European Champions Cup | Stade Marcel Michelin |
None of this feeds the forecast: both ratings already contain these results.