Benetton Treviso vs Edinburgh
What the model says about this fixture, at either ground and at a neutral one, with the record behind it. Ratings as at 2026-10-19.
Benetton Treviso host Edinburgh on Saturday 31 October at Stadio Comunale di Monigo, Treviso, so Benetton Treviso are at home. Everything below this card is that orientation.
Benetton Treviso 60.3%draw 2.5%37.2% EdinburghEdinburgh 81.3%draw 2.5%16.2% Benetton TrevisoBenetton Treviso 37.8%draw 2.5%59.7% EdinburghEach figure is 5,000 simulations of this fixture. The score is where those runs are centred, not a likely scoreline — a rugby result is spread far too widely for any single one to be likely.
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Pick your own scoreline for Benetton Treviso v Edinburgh, see where it lands among the simulated runs, and save a card to post.
Build a shareable predictionHow the runs finished
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations of this fixture. Bars right of the centre are Benetton Treviso wins; the faded bars at each end hold everything beyond 75 points.
Margin percentiles
- Middle 8 in 10
- Middle half
- Median
- Level
- Average
Eight runs in ten finished between 14 Edinburgh and 22 Benetton Treviso, half of them between 5 Edinburgh and 12 Benetton Treviso, with the middle run at 3 Benetton Treviso.
Those are gaps rather than scorelines. How much scoring the match produces is drawn separately — between 29 and 68 points in eight runs out of ten — so one bar covers many scores. The middle run above is 20-17 on a tight afternoon and 30-27 on an open one.
Why Benetton Treviso are favoured
How the model arrives at the chance of Benetton Treviso winning. It starts at an even 50%, and each line below adds to that or takes from it, in percentage points (pp): a bar to the right helps Benetton Treviso, a bar to the left helps Edinburgh.
Benetton Treviso 1413, Edinburgh 1528 — 115 points, favouring Edinburgh
Benetton Treviso are at home
Recent results, past meetings between the two sides, and days of rest. It has a limit, so it can nudge the rating but never overrule it.
Head to head
Benetton Treviso9–0–11Edinburgh20 meetings, 2015 to 2026 · Edinburgh by 7.0 on average
Last 10: 5–0–5 · Edinburgh by 8.2 on average
| Date | Match | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | Benetton Treviso 14–15 Edinburgh | United Rugby Championship | Stadio Comunale di Monigo |
| 2025-10-17 | Edinburgh 43–0 Benetton Treviso | United Rugby Championship | Hive Stadium |
| 2025-03-22 | Benetton Treviso 21–18 Edinburgh | United Rugby Championship | Stadio Comunale di Monigo |
| 2024-11-30 | Edinburgh 50–33 Benetton Treviso | United Rugby Championship | Hive Stadium |
| 2024-06-01 | Benetton Treviso 31–6 Edinburgh | United Rugby Championship | Stadio Comunale di Monigo |
The 5 most recent meetings; the record above covers all 20. None of this feeds the forecast: both ratings already contain these results.