Benetton Treviso vs Glasgow Warriors
What the model says about this fixture, at either ground and at a neutral one, with the record behind it. Ratings as at 2026-10-19.
Benetton Treviso host Glasgow Warriors on Saturday 24 October at Stadio Comunale di Monigo, Treviso, so Benetton Treviso are at home. Everything below this card is that orientation.
Benetton Treviso 30.9%draw 2.5%66.6% Glasgow WarriorsGlasgow Warriors 87.3%draw 2.5%10.2% Benetton TrevisoBenetton Treviso 19.4%draw 2.5%78.1% Glasgow WarriorsEach figure is 5,000 simulations of this fixture. The score is where those runs are centred, not a likely scoreline — a rugby result is spread far too widely for any single one to be likely.
Make it your call
Pick your own scoreline for Benetton Treviso v Glasgow Warriors, see where it lands among the simulated runs, and save a card to post.
Build a shareable predictionHow the runs finished
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations of this fixture. Bars right of the centre are Benetton Treviso wins; the faded bars at each end hold everything beyond 75 points.
Margin percentiles
- Middle 8 in 10
- Middle half
- Median
- Level
- Average
Eight runs in ten finished between 22 Glasgow Warriors and 15 Benetton Treviso, half of them between 12 Glasgow Warriors and 4 Benetton Treviso, with the middle run at 4 Glasgow Warriors.
Those are gaps rather than scorelines. How much scoring the match produces is drawn separately — between 30 and 69 points in eight runs out of ten — so one bar covers many scores. The middle run above is 21-17 on a tight afternoon and 31-27 on an open one.
Why Benetton Treviso are not favoured
How the model arrives at the chance of Benetton Treviso winning. It starts at an even 50%, and each line below adds to that or takes from it, in percentage points (pp): a bar to the right helps Benetton Treviso, a bar to the left helps Glasgow Warriors.
Benetton Treviso 1413, Glasgow Warriors 1949 — 537 points, favouring Glasgow Warriors
Benetton Treviso are at home
Recent results, past meetings between the two sides, and days of rest. It has a limit, so it can nudge the rating but never overrule it.
Head to head
Benetton Treviso5–0–13Glasgow Warriors18 meetings, 2015 to 2026 · Glasgow Warriors by 9.9 on average
Last 10: 4–0–6 · Glasgow Warriors by 7.3 on average
| Date | Match | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | Glasgow Warriors 31–10 Benetton Treviso | United Rugby Championship | Scotstoun Stadium |
| 2025-10-04 | Benetton Treviso 16–14 Glasgow Warriors | United Rugby Championship | Stadio Comunale di Monigo |
| 2025-05-10 | Benetton Treviso 33–7 Glasgow Warriors | United Rugby Championship | Stadio Comunale di Monigo |
| 2024-09-27 | Glasgow Warriors 42–10 Benetton Treviso | United Rugby Championship | Scotstoun Stadium |
| 2024-03-02 | Benetton Treviso 9–19 Glasgow Warriors | United Rugby Championship | Stadio Comunale di Monigo |
The 5 most recent meetings; the record above covers all 18. None of this feeds the forecast: both ratings already contain these results.