Benetton Treviso vs Sharks
What the model says about this fixture, at either ground and at a neutral one, with the record behind it. Ratings as at 2026-10-19.
Benetton Treviso 46.5%draw 2.5%51.0% SharksSharks 83.2%draw 2.5%14.3% Benetton TrevisoBenetton Treviso 29.4%draw 2.5%68.1% SharksEach figure is 5,000 simulations of this fixture. The score is where those runs are centred, not a likely scoreline — a rugby result is spread far too widely for any single one to be likely.
Make it your call
Pick your own scoreline for Benetton Treviso v Sharks, see where it lands among the simulated runs, and save a card to post.
Build a shareable predictionHow the runs finished
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations of this fixture. Bars right of the centre are Benetton Treviso wins; the faded bars at each end hold everything beyond 75 points.
Margin percentiles
- Middle 8 in 10
- Middle half
- Median
- Level
- Average
Eight runs in ten finished between 18 Sharks and 16 Benetton Treviso, half of them between 9 Sharks and 7 Benetton Treviso, with the middle run at 1 Sharks.
Those are gaps rather than scorelines. How much scoring the match produces is drawn separately — between 29 and 69 points in eight runs out of ten — so one bar covers many scores. The middle run above is 19-18 on a tight afternoon and 30-29 on an open one.
Why Benetton Treviso are not favoured
How the model arrives at the chance of Benetton Treviso winning. It starts at an even 50%, and each line below adds to that or takes from it, in percentage points (pp): a bar to the right helps Benetton Treviso, a bar to the left helps Sharks.
Benetton Treviso 1413, Sharks 1746 — 333 points, favouring Sharks
Benetton Treviso are at home
Recent results, past meetings between the two sides, and days of rest. It has a limit, so it can nudge the rating but never overrule it.
Head to head
Benetton Treviso2–0–3Sharks5 meetings, 2022 to 2026 · Sharks by 8.4 on average
| Date | Match | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Sharks 46–7 Benetton Treviso | United Rugby Championship | Hollywoodbets Kings Park |
| 2024-10-12 | Benetton Treviso 38–10 Sharks | United Rugby Championship | Stadio Comunale di Monigo |
| 2024-05-11 | Sharks 24–25 Benetton Treviso | United Rugby Championship | Hollywoodbets Kings Park |
| 2023-04-14 | Sharks 43–33 Benetton Treviso | United Rugby Championship | Hollywoodbets Kings Park |
| 2022-02-26 | Benetton Treviso 7–29 Sharks | United Rugby Championship | Stadio Comunale di Monigo |
None of this feeds the forecast: both ratings already contain these results.