Benetton Treviso vs Stormers
What the model says about this fixture, at either ground and at a neutral one, with the record behind it. Ratings as at 2026-10-19.
Benetton Treviso 38.1%draw 2.5%59.4% StormersStormers 86.6%draw 2.5%10.9% Benetton TrevisoBenetton Treviso 23.7%draw 2.5%73.8% StormersEach figure is 5,000 simulations of this fixture. The score is where those runs are centred, not a likely scoreline — a rugby result is spread far too widely for any single one to be likely.
Make it your call
Pick your own scoreline for Benetton Treviso v Stormers, see where it lands among the simulated runs, and save a card to post.
Build a shareable predictionHow the runs finished
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations of this fixture. Bars right of the centre are Benetton Treviso wins; the faded bars at each end hold everything beyond 75 points.
Margin percentiles
- Middle 8 in 10
- Middle half
- Median
- Level
- Average
Eight runs in ten finished between 22 Stormers and 14 Benetton Treviso, half of them between 12 Stormers and 5 Benetton Treviso, with the middle run at 3 Stormers.
Those are gaps rather than scorelines. How much scoring the match produces is drawn separately — between 29 and 69 points in eight runs out of ten — so one bar covers many scores. The middle run above is 20-17 on a tight afternoon and 30-27 on an open one.
Why Benetton Treviso are not favoured
How the model arrives at the chance of Benetton Treviso winning. It starts at an even 50%, and each line below adds to that or takes from it, in percentage points (pp): a bar to the right helps Benetton Treviso, a bar to the left helps Stormers.
Benetton Treviso 1413, Stormers 1845 — 433 points, favouring Stormers
Benetton Treviso are at home
Recent results, past meetings between the two sides, and days of rest. It has a limit, so it can nudge the rating but never overrule it.
Head to head
Benetton Treviso2–0–3Stormers5 meetings, 2021 to 2025 · Stormers by 15.0 on average
| Date | Match | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | Benetton Treviso 16–31 Stormers | United Rugby Championship | Stadio Comunale di Monigo |
| 2025-04-26 | Stormers 56–5 Benetton Treviso | United Rugby Championship | DHL Stadium |
| 2023-11-11 | Benetton Treviso 20–17 Stormers | United Rugby Championship | Stadio Comunale di Monigo |
| 2023-04-21 | Stormers 38–22 Benetton Treviso | United Rugby Championship | Danie Craven Stadium |
| 2021-09-25 | Benetton Treviso 22–18 Stormers | United Rugby Championship | Stadio Comunale di Monigo |
None of this feeds the forecast: both ratings already contain these results.