Bulls vs Cheetahs
What the model says about this fixture, at either ground and at a neutral one, with the record behind it. Ratings as at 2026-10-19.
Bulls 87.7%draw 2.5%9.8% CheetahsCheetahs 23.2%draw 2.5%74.3% BullsBulls 81.6%draw 2.5%15.9% CheetahsEach figure is 5,000 simulations of this fixture. The score is where those runs are centred, not a likely scoreline — a rugby result is spread far too widely for any single one to be likely.
Make it your call
Pick your own scoreline for Bulls v Cheetahs, see where it lands among the simulated runs, and save a card to post.
Build a shareable predictionHow the runs finished
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations of this fixture. Bars right of the centre are Bulls wins; the faded bars at each end hold everything beyond 75 points.
Margin percentiles
- Middle 8 in 10
- Middle half
- Median
- Level
- Average
Eight runs in ten finished between level and 38 Bulls, half of them between 4 Bulls and 25 Bulls, with the middle run at 13 Bulls.
Those are gaps rather than scorelines. How much scoring the match produces is drawn separately — between 33 and 75 points in eight runs out of ten — so one bar covers many scores. The middle run above is 27-14 on a tight afternoon and 38-25 on an open one.
Why Bulls are favoured
How the model arrives at the chance of Bulls winning. It starts at an even 50%, and each line below adds to that or takes from it, in percentage points (pp): a bar to the right helps Bulls, a bar to the left helps Cheetahs.
Bulls 1862, Cheetahs 1270 — 593 points, favouring Bulls
Bulls are at home
Recent results, past meetings between the two sides, and days of rest. It has a limit, so it can nudge the rating but never overrule it.
Head to head
Bulls4–0–2Cheetahs6 meetings, 2015 to 2017 · Bulls by 6.2 on average
| Date | Match | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-04-22 | Bulls 20–14 Cheetahs | Super Rugby | Loftus Versfeld |
| 2017-03-04 | Cheetahs 34–28 Bulls | Super Rugby | Toyota Stadium |
| 2016-07-16 | Cheetahs 17–43 Bulls | Super Rugby | Toyota Stadium |
| 2016-04-02 | Bulls 23–18 Cheetahs | Super Rugby | Loftus Versfeld |
| 2015-06-13 | Bulls 29–42 Cheetahs | Super Rugby | Loftus Versfeld |
The 5 most recent meetings; the record above covers all 6. None of this feeds the forecast: both ratings already contain these results.