Bulls vs Glasgow Warriors
What the model says about this fixture, at either ground and at a neutral one, with the record behind it. Ratings as at 2026-10-19.
Bulls 62.5%draw 2.5%35.0% Glasgow WarriorsGlasgow Warriors 66.0%draw 2.5%31.5% BullsBulls 48.8%draw 2.5%48.7% Glasgow WarriorsEach figure is 5,000 simulations of this fixture. The score is where those runs are centred, not a likely scoreline — a rugby result is spread far too widely for any single one to be likely.
Make it your call
Pick your own scoreline for Bulls v Glasgow Warriors, see where it lands among the simulated runs, and save a card to post.
Build a shareable predictionHow the runs finished
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations of this fixture. Bars right of the centre are Bulls wins; the faded bars at each end hold everything beyond 75 points.
Margin percentiles
- Middle 8 in 10
- Middle half
- Median
- Level
- Average
Eight runs in ten finished between 15 Glasgow Warriors and 21 Bulls, half of them between 5 Glasgow Warriors and 11 Bulls, with the middle run at 3 Bulls.
Those are gaps rather than scorelines. How much scoring the match produces is drawn separately — between 28 and 66 points in eight runs out of ten — so one bar covers many scores. The middle run above is 19-16 on a tight afternoon and 30-27 on an open one.
Why Bulls are favoured
How the model arrives at the chance of Bulls winning. It starts at an even 50%, and each line below adds to that or takes from it, in percentage points (pp): a bar to the right helps Bulls, a bar to the left helps Glasgow Warriors.
Bulls 1862, Glasgow Warriors 1949 — 87 points, favouring Glasgow Warriors
Bulls are at home
Recent results, past meetings between the two sides, and days of rest. It has a limit, so it can nudge the rating but never overrule it.
Head to head
Bulls4–0–4Glasgow Warriors8 meetings, 2022 to 2026 · Glasgow Warriors by 0.8 on average
| Date | Match | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Glasgow Warriors 21–22 Bulls | United Rugby Championship | Scottish Gas Murrayfield |
| 2026-04-04 | Glasgow Warriors 25–21 Bulls | European Champions Cup | Scotstoun Stadium |
| 2025-10-24 | Glasgow Warriors 21–12 Bulls | United Rugby Championship | Scotstoun Stadium |
| 2025-04-25 | Glasgow Warriors 19–26 Bulls | United Rugby Championship | Scotstoun Stadium |
| 2024-06-22 | Bulls 16–21 Glasgow Warriors | United Rugby Championship | Loftus Versfeld |
The 5 most recent meetings; the record above covers all 8. None of this feeds the forecast: both ratings already contain these results.