Bulls vs Northampton Saints
What the model says about this fixture, at either ground and at a neutral one, with the record behind it. Ratings as at 2026-10-19.
Bulls 57.4%draw 2.5%40.1% Northampton SaintsNorthampton Saints 67.5%draw 2.5%30.0% BullsBulls 43.4%draw 2.5%54.1% Northampton SaintsEach figure is 5,000 simulations of this fixture. The score is where those runs are centred, not a likely scoreline — a rugby result is spread far too widely for any single one to be likely.
Make it your call
Pick your own scoreline for Bulls v Northampton Saints, see where it lands among the simulated runs, and save a card to post.
Build a shareable predictionHow the runs finished
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations of this fixture. Bars right of the centre are Bulls wins; the faded bars at each end hold everything beyond 75 points.
Margin percentiles
- Middle 8 in 10
- Middle half
- Median
- Level
- Average
Eight runs in ten finished between 15 Northampton Saints and 22 Bulls, half of them between 6 Northampton Saints and 11 Bulls, with the middle run at 2 Bulls.
Those are gaps rather than scorelines. How much scoring the match produces is drawn separately — between 32 and 75 points in eight runs out of ten — so one bar covers many scores. The middle run above is 21-19 on a tight afternoon and 32-30 on an open one.
Why Bulls are favoured
How the model arrives at the chance of Bulls winning. It starts at an even 50%, and each line below adds to that or takes from it, in percentage points (pp): a bar to the right helps Bulls, a bar to the left helps Northampton Saints.
Bulls 1862, Northampton Saints 1957 — 95 points, favouring Northampton Saints
Bulls are at home
Recent results, past meetings between the two sides, and days of rest. It has a limit, so it can nudge the rating but never overrule it.
Head to head
Bulls0–0–3Northampton Saints3 meetings, 2024 to 2025 · Northampton Saints by 30.3 on average
| Date | Match | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | Northampton Saints 50–5 Bulls | European Champions Cup | cinch Stadium at Franklin's Gardens |
| 2024-12-14 | Bulls 21–30 Northampton Saints | European Champions Cup | Loftus Versfeld |
| 2024-04-13 | Northampton Saints 59–22 Bulls | European Champions Cup | cinch Stadium at Franklin's Gardens |
None of this feeds the forecast: both ratings already contain these results.