Clermont Auvergne vs Racing 92
What the model says about this fixture, at either ground and at a neutral one, with the record behind it. Ratings as at 2026-10-19.
Clermont Auvergne host Racing 92 on Saturday 31 October at Stade Marcel Michelin, Clermont-Ferrand, so Clermont Auvergne are at home. Everything below this card is that orientation.
Clermont Auvergne 56.9%draw 2.5%40.6% Racing 92Racing 92 76.8%draw 2.5%20.7% Clermont AuvergneClermont Auvergne 38.1%draw 2.5%59.4% Racing 92Each figure is 5,000 simulations of this fixture. The score is where those runs are centred, not a likely scoreline — a rugby result is spread far too widely for any single one to be likely.
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Pick your own scoreline for Clermont Auvergne v Racing 92, see where it lands among the simulated runs, and save a card to post.
Build a shareable predictionHow the runs finished
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations of this fixture. Bars right of the centre are Clermont Auvergne wins; the faded bars at each end hold everything beyond 75 points.
Margin percentiles
- Middle 8 in 10
- Middle half
- Median
- Level
- Average
Eight runs in ten finished between 15 Racing 92 and 18 Clermont Auvergne, half of them between 6 Racing 92 and 9 Clermont Auvergne, with the middle run at 2 Clermont Auvergne.
Those are gaps rather than scorelines. How much scoring the match produces is drawn separately — between 30 and 72 points in eight runs out of ten — so one bar covers many scores. The middle run above is 20-18 on a tight afternoon and 31-29 on an open one.
Why Clermont Auvergne are favoured
How the model arrives at the chance of Clermont Auvergne winning. It starts at an even 50%, and each line below adds to that or takes from it, in percentage points (pp): a bar to the right helps Clermont Auvergne, a bar to the left helps Racing 92.
Clermont Auvergne 1466, Racing 92 1632 — 166 points, favouring Racing 92
Clermont Auvergne are at home
Recent results, past meetings between the two sides, and days of rest. It has a limit, so it can nudge the rating but never overrule it.
Head to head
Clermont Auvergne7–2–17Racing 9226 meetings, 2015 to 2026 · Racing 92 by 5.5 on average
Last 10: 3–0–7 · Racing 92 by 8.9 on average
| Date | Match | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Clermont Auvergne 13–41 Racing 92 | Top 14 | Stade Marcel Michelin |
| 2025-09-27 | Racing 92 43–31 Clermont Auvergne | Top 14 | Paris La Defense Arena |
| 2025-03-22 | Clermont Auvergne 21–23 Racing 92 | Top 14 | Stade Marcel Michelin |
| 2024-09-14 | Racing 92 33–20 Clermont Auvergne | Top 14 | Stade Dominique Duvauchelle |
| 2024-03-30 | Racing 92 26–10 Clermont Auvergne | Top 14 | Paris La Defense Arena |
The 5 most recent meetings; the record above covers all 26. None of this feeds the forecast: both ratings already contain these results.