Georgia vs Namibia
What the model says about this fixture, at either ground and at a neutral one, with the record behind it. Ratings as at 2026-10-18.
Georgia 94.4%4.6% NamibiaNamibia 11.5%87.5% GeorgiaGeorgia 91.1%7.9% NamibiaEach figure is 5,000 simulations of this fixture. The score is where those runs are centred, not a likely scoreline — a rugby result is spread far too widely for any single one to be likely.
Make it your call
Pick your own scoreline for Georgia v Namibia, see where it lands among the simulated runs, and save a card to post.
Build a shareable predictionHow the runs finished
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations of this fixture. Bars right of the centre are Georgia wins; the faded bars at each end hold everything beyond 75 points.
Margin percentiles
- Middle 8 in 10
- Middle half
- Median
- Level
- Average
Eight runs in ten finished between 2 Georgia and 53 Georgia, half of them between 8 Georgia and 38 Georgia, with the middle run at 21 Georgia.
Those are gaps rather than scorelines. How much scoring the match produces is drawn separately — between 36 and 83 points in eight runs out of ten — so one bar covers many scores. The middle run above is 33-12 on a tight afternoon and 45-24 on an open one.
Why Georgia are favoured
How the model arrives at the chance of Georgia winning. It starts at an even 50%, and each line below adds to that or takes from it, in percentage points (pp): a bar to the right helps Georgia, a bar to the left helps Namibia.
Georgia 1899, Namibia 1240 — 659 points, favouring Georgia
Georgia are at home
Recent results, past meetings between the two sides, and days of rest. It has a limit, so it can nudge the rating but never overrule it.
Head to head
Georgia4–0–1Namibia5 meetings, 2007 to 2015 · Georgia by 7.8 on average
| Date | Match | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-10-07 | Georgia 17–16 Namibia | Rugby World Cup | Sandy Park(neutral) |
| 2011-06-19 | Georgia 23–18 Namibia | — | Stadionul National Arcul de Triumf(neutral) |
| 2010-06-20 | Georgia 16–21 Namibia | — | Stadionul National Arcul de Triumf(neutral) |
| 2007-09-26 | Georgia 30–0 Namibia | Rugby World Cup | Stade Bollaert-Delelis(neutral) |
| 2007-06-05 | Georgia 26–18 Namibia | — | Stadionul National Arcul de Triumf(neutral) |
A dash under Competition means the record does not name one, which is common — most rows on file carry no competition. None of this feeds the forecast: both ratings already contain these results.