Glasgow Warriors vs Sale Sharks
What the model says about this fixture, at either ground and at a neutral one, with the record behind it. Ratings as at 2026-10-19.
Glasgow Warriors 81.6%draw 2.5%15.9% Sale SharksSale Sharks 36.2%draw 2.5%61.3% Glasgow WarriorsGlasgow Warriors 73.9%draw 2.5%23.6% Sale SharksEach figure is 5,000 simulations of this fixture. The score is where those runs are centred, not a likely scoreline — a rugby result is spread far too widely for any single one to be likely.
Make it your call
Pick your own scoreline for Glasgow Warriors v Sale Sharks, see where it lands among the simulated runs, and save a card to post.
Build a shareable predictionHow the runs finished
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations of this fixture. Bars right of the centre are Glasgow Warriors wins; the faded bars at each end hold everything beyond 75 points.
Margin percentiles
- Middle 8 in 10
- Middle half
- Median
- Level
- Average
Eight runs in ten finished between 3 Sale Sharks and 34 Glasgow Warriors, half of them between 2 Glasgow Warriors and 21 Glasgow Warriors, with the middle run at 10 Glasgow Warriors.
Those are gaps rather than scorelines. How much scoring the match produces is drawn separately — between 33 and 76 points in eight runs out of ten — so one bar covers many scores. The middle run above is 26-16 on a tight afternoon and 37-27 on an open one.
Why Glasgow Warriors are favoured
How the model arrives at the chance of Glasgow Warriors winning. It starts at an even 50%, and each line below adds to that or takes from it, in percentage points (pp): a bar to the right helps Glasgow Warriors, a bar to the left helps Sale Sharks.
Glasgow Warriors 1949, Sale Sharks 1504 — 445 points, favouring Glasgow Warriors
Glasgow Warriors are at home
Recent results, past meetings between the two sides, and days of rest. It has a limit, so it can nudge the rating but never overrule it.
Head to head
Glasgow Warriors5–0–0Sale Sharks5 meetings, 2019 to 2026 · Glasgow Warriors by 17.6 on average
| Date | Match | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Sale Sharks 27–47 Glasgow Warriors | European Champions Cup | CorpAcq Stadium |
| 2025-12-05 | Sale Sharks 21–26 Glasgow Warriors | European Champions Cup | CorpAcq Stadium |
| 2024-12-07 | Glasgow Warriors 38–19 Sale Sharks | European Champions Cup | Scotstoun Stadium |
| 2020-01-18 | Sale Sharks 7–45 Glasgow Warriors | European Champions Cup | CorpAcq Stadium |
| 2019-11-16 | Glasgow Warriors 13–7 Sale Sharks | European Champions Cup | Scotstoun Stadium |
None of this feeds the forecast: both ratings already contain these results.