Northampton Saints vs Sale Sharks
What the model says about this fixture, at either ground and at a neutral one, with the record behind it. Ratings as at 2026-10-19.
Northampton Saints 81.6%draw 2.5%15.9% Sale SharksSale Sharks 35.9%draw 2.5%61.6% Northampton SaintsNorthampton Saints 74.0%draw 2.5%23.5% Sale SharksEach figure is 5,000 simulations of this fixture. The score is where those runs are centred, not a likely scoreline — a rugby result is spread far too widely for any single one to be likely.
Make it your call
Pick your own scoreline for Northampton Saints v Sale Sharks, see where it lands among the simulated runs, and save a card to post.
Build a shareable predictionHow the runs finished
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations of this fixture. Bars right of the centre are Northampton Saints wins; the faded bars at each end hold everything beyond 75 points.
Margin percentiles
- Middle 8 in 10
- Middle half
- Median
- Level
- Average
Eight runs in ten finished between 4 Sale Sharks and 33 Northampton Saints, half of them between 2 Northampton Saints and 21 Northampton Saints, with the middle run at 10 Northampton Saints.
Those are gaps rather than scorelines. How much scoring the match produces is drawn separately — between 32 and 74 points in eight runs out of ten — so one bar covers many scores. The middle run above is 25-15 on a tight afternoon and 37-27 on an open one.
Why Northampton Saints are favoured
How the model arrives at the chance of Northampton Saints winning. It starts at an even 50%, and each line below adds to that or takes from it, in percentage points (pp): a bar to the right helps Northampton Saints, a bar to the left helps Sale Sharks.
Northampton Saints 1957, Sale Sharks 1504 — 453 points, favouring Northampton Saints
Northampton Saints are at home
Recent results, past meetings between the two sides, and days of rest. It has a limit, so it can nudge the rating but never overrule it.
Head to head
Northampton Saints10–0–14Sale Sharks24 meetings, 2015 to 2026 · Northampton Saints by 0.5 on average
Last 10: 5–0–5 · Northampton Saints by 0.8 on average
| Date | Match | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Sale Sharks 29–43 Northampton Saints | Gallagher Premiership | CorpAcq Stadium |
| 2025-12-20 | Northampton Saints 47–21 Sale Sharks | Gallagher Premiership | cinch Stadium at Franklin's Gardens |
| 2025-03-28 | Sale Sharks 27–24 Northampton Saints | Gallagher Premiership | CorpAcq Stadium |
| 2024-10-18 | Northampton Saints 47–17 Sale Sharks | Gallagher Premiership | cinch Stadium at Franklin's Gardens |
| 2023-12-30 | Northampton Saints 21–17 Sale Sharks | Gallagher Premiership | cinch Stadium at Franklin's Gardens |
The 5 most recent meetings; the record above covers all 24. None of this feeds the forecast: both ratings already contain these results.