40 of 40 fixtures played. 32 of them were forecast before the match and can be scored: 27 of 32 called correctly.

Uruguay v Italy1738-21.025-3180%Right
New Zealand v Namibia713+68.042-2185%Right
Tonga v Romania4524+21.030-2365%Right
Wales v Fiji3226+6.032-2765%Right
Japan v England1234-22.015-3790%Right
France v Uruguay2712+15.039-2085%Right
Italy v Namibia528+44.033-1590%Right
Ireland v Tonga5916+43.040-1995%Right
Romania v Scotland084-84.022-3895%Right
Fiji v Georgia1712+5.026-2755%Right
Argentina v Samoa1910+9.037-1690%Right
Chile v England071-71.010-3895%Right
Namibia v Uruguay2636-10.020-3785%Right
Scotland v Tonga4517+28.042-16100%Right
Portugal v Australia1434-20.016-4295%Right
Georgia v Wales1943-24.020-3085%Right
Japan v Argentina2739-12.021-3890%Right
England v Samoa1817+1.033-1590%Right
France v Namibia960+96.042-1795%Right
Romania v South Africa076-76.021-42100%Right
Australia v Georgia3515+20.034-1895%Right
Uruguay v New Zealand073-73.020-3985%Right
Romania v Ireland882-74.022-4095%Right
Tonga v South Africa1849-31.016-3690%Right
Wales v Portugal288+20.035-1590%Right
Chile v Argentina559-54.013-3080%Right
Samoa v Japan2228-6.018-3270%Right
Portugal v Georgia1818drawn22-35<1%Wrong
Samoa v Chile4310+33.022-2945%Wrong
Fiji v Portugal2324-1.034-2625%Wrong
Chile v Japan1242-30.025-2545%Wrong
Fiji v Australia2215+7.022-3230%Wrong
South Africa v Scotland183+15.0not forecast
Australia v Wales640-34.0not forecast
New Zealand v France1327-14.0not forecast
South Africa v Ireland813-5.0not forecast
Italy v New Zealand1796-79.0not forecast
Ireland v Scotland3614+22.0not forecast
Argentina v England1027-17.0not forecast
Italy v France760-53.0not forecast

What is being scored here

The forecast each fixture had while it was still to be played, recorded at the time and never rewritten. A fixture played before that record began cannot be scored and is marked as such.

This is one tournament and a handful of matches. Model performance measures the same thing across every match on record.

84% of 32 is too small a sample to read as an accuracy rate.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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