40 of 40 fixtures played. 32 of them were forecast before the match and can be scored: 27 of 32 called correctly.

Uruguay v Italy17–38-21.025-3180%Right
New Zealand v Namibia71–3+68.042-2185%Right
Tonga v Romania45–24+21.030-2365%Right
Wales v Fiji32–26+6.032-2765%Right
Japan v England12–34-22.015-3790%Right
France v Uruguay27–12+15.039-2085%Right
Italy v Namibia52–8+44.033-1590%Right
Ireland v Tonga59–16+43.040-1995%Right
Romania v Scotland0–84-84.022-3895%Right
Fiji v Georgia17–12+5.026-2755%Right
Argentina v Samoa19–10+9.037-1690%Right
Chile v England0–71-71.010-3895%Right
Namibia v Uruguay26–36-10.020-3785%Right
Scotland v Tonga45–17+28.042-16100%Right
Portugal v Australia14–34-20.016-4295%Right
Georgia v Wales19–43-24.020-3085%Right
Japan v Argentina27–39-12.021-3890%Right
England v Samoa18–17+1.033-1590%Right
France v Namibia96–0+96.042-1795%Right
Romania v South Africa0–76-76.021-42100%Right
Australia v Georgia35–15+20.034-1895%Right
Uruguay v New Zealand0–73-73.020-3985%Right
Romania v Ireland8–82-74.022-4095%Right
Tonga v South Africa18–49-31.016-3690%Right
Wales v Portugal28–8+20.035-1590%Right
Chile v Argentina5–59-54.013-3080%Right
Samoa v Japan22–28-6.018-3270%Right
Portugal v Georgia18–18drawn22-35<1%Wrong
Samoa v Chile43–10+33.022-2945%Wrong
Fiji v Portugal23–24-1.034-2625%Wrong
Chile v Japan12–42-30.025-2545%Wrong
Fiji v Australia22–15+7.022-3230%Wrong
South Africa v Scotland18–3+15.0––not forecast
Australia v Wales6–40-34.0––not forecast
New Zealand v France13–27-14.0––not forecast
South Africa v Ireland8–13-5.0––not forecast
Italy v New Zealand17–96-79.0––not forecast
Ireland v Scotland36–14+22.0––not forecast
Argentina v England10–27-17.0––not forecast
Italy v France7–60-53.0––not forecast

What is being scored here

The forecast each fixture had while it was still to be played, recorded at the time and never rewritten. A fixture played before that record began cannot be scored and is marked as such.

This is one tournament and a handful of matches. Model performance measures the same thing across every match on record.

84% of 32 is too small a sample to read as an accuracy rate.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

Search

Jump to a tournament, a page, or a team