France v Scotland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
22 – 36
10 April 1999Stade de France, Saint-Denis
What the model says about France v Scotland
- Kick-off
- 12:15 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- 10.9 °C
- Rainfall
- 1.2 mm
- Wind
- 18 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 8 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Christian Califano-10.0
- 2Raphael Ibanez(c)-4.5
- 3Franck Tournaire
- 4Olivier Brouzet
- 5Thierry Cleda
- 6Richard Castel
- 7Christian Labit
- 8Christophe Juillet
- 9Philippe Carbonneau
- 10Thomas Castaignede-2.7
- 11Christophe Dominici-5.2
- 12Franck Comba
- 13Pascal Giordani
- 14Xavier Garbajosa-2.6
- 15Emile Ntamack
Replacements
- 16David Aucagne
- 17Christophe Laussucq
- 18Sylvain Marconnet+0.2
- 19David Auradou-6.7
- 20Philippe Benetton
- 21Thomas Lombard
- 22Marc dal Maso
Scotland
- 1Dave Hilton
- 2Gordon Bulloch
- 3Paul Burnell
- 4Scott Murray
- 5Stuart Grimes
- 6Budge Pountney
- 7Martin Leslie
- 8Stuart Reid
- 9Gary Armstrong(c)
- 10Gregor Townsend
- 11Kenny Logan
- 12John Leslie-1.3
- 13Alan Tait
- 14Cammie Murray
- 15Glenn Metcalfe
Replacements
- 16George Graham
- 17Peter Walton
- 18Andy Reed
- 19Shaun Longstaff
- 20Craig Chalmers
- 21Iain Fairley
- 22Steve Brotherstone
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.