Scotland v France
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
16 – 28
4 March 2000Scottish Gas Murrayfield, Edinburgh
What the model says about Scotland v France
- Kick-off
- 14:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 49 m
- Temperature
- 0.9 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 22 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 12 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Scotland
- 1Tom Smith
- 2Steve Brotherstone
- 3Mattie Stewart
- 4Scott Murray
- 5Doddie Weir
- 6Martin Leslie
- 7Budge Pountney
- 8Stuart Reid
- 9Andy Nicol
- 10Gregor Townsend
- 11Kenny Logan
- 12John Leslie(c)-1.3
- 13James McLaren
- 14Glenn Metcalfe
- 15Chris Paterson+1.8
Replacements
- 16Dave Hilton
- 17Stuart Grimes
- 18Cameron Mather
- 19Duncan Hodge
- 20Jamie Mayer
- 21Graeme Beveridge
- 22Steve Scott
France
- 1Christian Califano-10.0
- 2Marc dal Maso
- 3Franck Tournaire
- 4Jean Daude
- 5Olivier Brouzet
- 6Sebastien Chabal-2.5
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Fabien Pelous(c)+1.3
- 9Christophe Laussucq
- 10Gerald Merceron
- 11Christophe Dominici-5.2
- 12Thomas Lombard
- 13David Venditti
- 14Emile Ntamack
- 15Thomas Castaignede-2.7
Replacements
- 16Raphael Ibanez-4.5
- 17Pieter de Villiers-5.0
- 18Thomas Lievremont-3.7
- 19Arnaud Costes
- 20Jean-Baptiste Elissalde+1.3
- 21Aubin Hueber
- 22Cedric Desbrosse
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.