France v Scotland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
16 – 6
4 February 2001Stade de France, Saint-Denis
What the model says about France v Scotland
- Kick-off
- 13:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- 10.4 °C
- Rainfall
- 2.2 mm
- Wind
- 30 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 15 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Sylvain Marconnet+0.2
- 2Raphael Ibanez-4.5
- 3Pieter de Villiers-5.0
- 4David Auradou-6.7
- 5Fabien Pelous(c)+1.3
- 6Christophe Moni
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Christophe Juillet
- 9Fabien Galthie+6.5
- 10Christophe Lamaison
- 11David Bory
- 12Richard Dourthe
- 13Franck Comba
- 14Philippe Bernat-Salles
- 15Xavier Garbajosa-2.6
Replacements
- 16Christian Califano-10.0
- 17Abdelatif Benazzi
- 18Serge Betsen Tchoua+7.0
- 19Gerald Merceron
- 20Olivier Azam
- 21Christophe Dominici-5.2
- 22Philippe Carbonneau
Scotland
- 1Tom Smith
- 2Gordon Bulloch
- 3Mattie Stewart
- 4Scott Murray
- 5Richard Metcalfe
- 6Martin Leslie
- 7Budge Pountney
- 8Jon Petrie
- 9Andy Nicol(c)
- 10Gregor Townsend
- 11Kenny Logan
- 12John Leslie-1.3
- 13James McLaren
- 14Cammie Murray
- 15Chris Paterson+1.8
Replacements
- 16Duncan Hodge
- 17Stuart Grimes
- 18Alan Bulloch
- 19Gordon McIlwham
- 20Bryan Redpath
- 21Robbie Russell+3.0
- 22Jason White+12.3
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.