France v Argentina
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
12 – 17
7 September 2007Stade de France, Saint-Denis
What the model says about France v Argentina
- Kick-off
- 19:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- 17.3 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 19 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 22 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Olivier Milloud-7.6
- 2Raphael Ibanez(c)-4.5
- 3Pieter de Villiers-5.0
- 4Fabien Pelous+1.3
- 5Jerome Thion-2.8
- 6Serge Betsen Tchoua+7.0
- 7Remy Martin
- 8Imanol Harinordoquy+0.6
- 9Pierre Mignoni-1.1
- 10David Skrela
- 11Christophe Dominici-5.2
- 12Damien Traille+3.1
- 13Yannick Jauzion+9.9
- 14Aurelien Rougerie-0.2
- 15Cedric Heymans-0.6
Replacements
- 16Dimitri Szarzewski-0.3
- 17Jean-Baptiste Poux-4.2
- 18Sebastien Chabal-2.5
- 19Julien Bonnaire
- 20Thierry Dusautoir-3.4
- 21Jean-Baptiste Elissalde+1.3
- 22Frederic Michalak+2.7
Argentina
- 1Rodrigo Roncero
- 2Mario Ledesma Arocena
- 3Martin Scelzo
- 4Ignacio Fernandez Lobbe
- 5Patricio Albacete
- 6Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe
- 7Lucas Ostiglia
- 8Juan Manuel Leguizamon+1.3
- 9Agustin Pichot(c)
- 10Juan Martin Hernandez+0.3
- 11Horacio Agulla
- 12Felipe Contepomi-2.0
- 13Manuel Contepomi
- 14Lucas Borges
- 15Ignacio Corleto
Replacements
- 16Alberto Vernet Basualdo
- 17Santiago Gonzalez Bonorino
- 18Rimas Alvarez Kairelis
- 19Martin Durand
- 20Nicolas Fernandez Miranda
- 21Federico Todeschini
- 22Hernan Senillosa
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| France | Measure | Argentina |
|---|---|---|
| 58.0% | Possession | 42.0% |
| 56.0% | Territory | 44.0% |
Attack
| France | Measure | Argentina |
|---|---|---|
| 350m | Carry metres | 326m |
| 6 | Defenders beaten | 7 |
| 9 | Offloads | 7 |
| 127 | Passes | 63 |
Defence
| France | Measure | Argentina |
|---|---|---|
| 73 | Tackles made | 114 |
| 7 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 8 |
| 5 | Turnovers won | 8 |
Set pieces
| France | Measure | Argentina |
|---|---|---|
| 81.8% | Lineout success | 70.6% |
| 9 | Lineouts won | 12 |
| 8 | Scrums won | 4 |
Breakdown
| France | Measure | Argentina |
|---|---|---|
| 79 | Rucks won | 52 |
| 6 | Mauls won | 3 |
Discipline
| France | Measure | Argentina |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 6 |
| 8 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 4 |
Scoring
| France | Measure | Argentina |
|---|---|---|
| — | Tries | 1 |
| 4 | Penalty goals | 4 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.