England v France
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
Allianz Stadium, London
What the model says about England v France
Conditions
- Kick-off
- 19:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 7 m
- Temperature
- 16.3 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 14 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
The ground from above
What happened in the phases
Possession and territory
| England | Measure | France |
|---|---|---|
| 49.0% | Possession | 51.0% |
| 50.0% | Territory | 50.0% |
Attack
| England | Measure | France |
|---|---|---|
| 323m | Carry metres | 430m |
| 15 | Defenders beaten | 25 |
| 5 | Offloads | 21 |
| 116 | Passes | 134 |
Defence
| England | Measure | France |
|---|---|---|
| 103 | Tackles made | 93 |
| 25 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 15 |
| 8 | Turnovers won | 7 |
Set pieces
| England | Measure | France |
|---|---|---|
| 81.3% | Lineout success | 71.4% |
| 13 | Lineouts won | 10 |
| 5 | Scrums won | 7 |
Breakdown
| England | Measure | France |
|---|---|---|
| 65 | Rucks won | 68 |
| 4 | Mauls won | 10 |
Kicking
| England | Measure | France |
|---|---|---|
| 588m | Kick metres | 583m |
Discipline
| England | Measure | France |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | — |
| 13 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 18 |
Scoring
| England | Measure | France |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tries | 1 |
| 2 | Conversions | — |
| — | Penalty goals | 3 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.