Scotland v France
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
17 – 36
26 February 2022Scottish Gas Murrayfield, Edinburgh
What the model says about Scotland v France
- Kick-off
- 14:15 UTC
- Elevation
- 49 m
- Temperature
- 7.0 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 29 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 38 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Scotland
- 1Pierre Schoeman
- 2Stuart McInally-3.8
- 3Zander Fagerson-4.4
- 4Sam Skinner-0.5
- 5Grant Gilchrist(c)-0.4
- 6Nick Haining
- 7Rory Darge-13.6
- 8Magnus Bradbury+2.4
- 9Ali Price-11.2
- 10Finn Russell(c)-13.7
- 11Duhan van der Merwe-6.2
- 12Sione Tuipulotu-6.9
- 13Chris Harris+7.0
- 14Darcy Graham-3.0
- 15Stuart Hogg(c)
Replacements
- 16George Turner-6.5
- 17Oli Kebble
- 18WP Nel+4.2
- 19Jamie Hodgson
- 20Andy Onyeama-Christie
- 21Ben White-12.7
- 22Blair Kinghorn-12.3
- 23Mark Bennett-0.3
France
- 1Cyril Baille+5.5
- 2Julien Marchand+1.9
- 3Uini Atonio+0.4
- 4Cameron Woki-3.5
- 5Paul Willemse-0.7
- 6François Cros+9.1
- 7Anthony Jelonch+7.2
- 8Grégory Alldritt+5.6
- 9Antoine Dupont(c)+8.4
- 10Romain Ntamack-1.1
- 11Yoram Moefana+7.0
- 12Jonathan Danty+3.7
- 13Gaël Fickou+2.9
- 14Damian Penaud-1.8
- 15Melvyn Jaminet
Replacements
- 16Peato Mauvaka+6.2
- 17Jean-Baptiste Gros+3.5
- 18Demba Bamba-4.4
- 19Romain Taofifénua+2.0
- 20Thibaud Flament+10.4
- 21Dylan Cretin
- 22Maxime Lucu+1.2
- 23Thomas Ramos+6.3
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Scoring
| Scotland | Measure | France |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tries | 6 |
| 2 | Conversions | 3 |
| 1 | Penalty goals | — |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.