Argentina v Scotland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
6 – 29
9 July 2022Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta
What the model says about Argentina v Scotland
- Kick-off
- 19:10 UTC
- Elevation
- 1177 m
- Temperature
- 12.7 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 10 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
-24.82090,-65.41912 · imagery by Esri · Google Maps
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 33 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Argentina
- 1Nahuel Tetaz Chaparro+2.3
- 2Julián Montoya
- 3Francisco Gomez Kodela+5.7
- 4Guido Petti-1.9
- 5Matías Alemanno+1.7
- 6Juan Martín González
- 7Marcos Kremer-0.0
- 8Rodrigo Bruni-7.2
- 9Gonzalo Bertranou-0.8
- 10Santiago Carreras
- 11Juan Imhoff+8.0
- 12Jeronimo de la Fuente+6.6
- 13Matias Orlando-3.8
- 14Santiago Cordero-1.8
- 15Emiliano Boffelli
Replacements
- 16Agustin Creevy+2.4
- 17Mayco Vivas+2.5
- 18Joel Sclavi-2.3
- 19Lucas Paulos
- 20Facundo Isa+1.6
- 21Felipe Ezcurra
- 22Domingo Miotti
- 23Matías Moroni-12.4
Scotland
- 1Pierre Schoeman
- 2Dave Cherry-4.9
- 3Zander Fagerson-4.4
- 4Sam Skinner-0.5
- 5Grant Gilchrist-0.4
- 6Rory Darge-13.6
- 7Hamish Watson-1.1
- 8Matt Fagerson-11.0
- 9Ben White-12.7
- 10Blair Kinghorn-12.3
- 11Duhan van der Merwe-6.2
- 12Sam Johnson
- 13Mark Bennett-0.3
- 14Darcy Graham-3.0
- 15Rory Hutchinson
Replacements
- 16George Turner-6.5
- 17Jamie Bhatti+0.8
- 18Javan Sebastian
- 19Scott Cummings+2.0
- 20Andy Onyeama-Christie
- 21Ali Price-11.2
- 22Ross Thompson
- 23Kyle Rowe+7.4
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Discipline
| Argentina | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | — |
Scoring
| Argentina | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| — | Tries | 4 |
| — | Conversions | 3 |
| 2 | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.