Argentina v Australia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
48 – 17
13 August 2022Estadio Bicentenario, San Juan
What the model says about Argentina v Australia
- Kick-off
- 19:10 UTC
- Elevation
- 616 m
- Temperature
- 13.1 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 12 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 31 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Argentina
- 1Thomas Gallo+1.5
- 2Julián Montoya(c)
- 3Francisco Gomez Kodela+5.7
- 4Matías Alemanno+1.7
- 5Tomas Lavanini-0.6
- 6Juan Martín González
- 7Marcos Kremer-0.0
- 8Pablo Matera-1.1
- 9Gonzalo Bertranou-0.8
- 10Santiago Carreras
- 11Juan Imhoff+8.0
- 12Jeronimo de la Fuente+6.6
- 13Matías Moroni-12.4
- 14Emiliano Boffelli
- 15Juan Cruz Mallía+4.3
Replacements
- 16Agustin Creevy+2.4
- 17Nahuel Tetaz Chaparro+2.3
- 18Joel Sclavi-2.3
- 19Facundo Isa+1.6
- 20Rodrigo Bruni-7.2
- 21Tomas Cubelli+7.3
- 22Tomas Albornoz+6.7
- 23Lucio Cinti-5.6
Australia
- 1James Slipper(c)-3.3
- 2Lachlan Lonergan
- 3Taniela Tupou+2.1
- 4Rory Arnold-6.0
- 5Darcy Swain
- 6Jed Holloway
- 7Fraser McReight+12.2
- 8Rob Valetini
- 9Nic White-2.5
- 10James O'Connor-0.2
- 11Marika Koroibete
- 12Lalakai Foketi
- 13Len Ikitau+2.7
- 14Jordan Petaia
- 15Tom Wright+11.9
Replacements
- 16Billy Pollard+5.3
- 17Matt Gibbon
- 18Pone Fa'amausili
- 19Nick Frost-0.3
- 20Pete Samu-4.3
- 21Tate McDermott+4.9
- 22Irae Simone
- 23Reece Hodge
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Discipline
| Argentina | Measure | Australia |
|---|---|---|
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
Scoring
| Argentina | Measure | Australia |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tries | 2 |
| 5 | Conversions | 2 |
| 1 | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.