Uruguay v Scotland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
19 – 31
27 July 2024Estadio Charrua, Montevideo
What the model says about Uruguay v Scotland
- Kick-off
- 19:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- 9.5 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 14 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 14 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Uruguay
- 1Ignacio Péculo
- 2Guillermo Pujadas
- 3Diego Arbelo
- 4Felipe Aliaga
- 5Manuel Leindekar
- 6Manuel Ardao
- 7Lucas Bianchi
- 8Carlos Deus
- 9Santiago Álvarez
- 10Felipe Etcheverry
- 11Nicolas Freitas
- 12Tomas Inciarte
- 13Juan Manuel Alonso
- 14Juan Bautista Hontou
- 15Ignacio Alvarez
Replacements
- 16Joaquín Myszka
- 17Mateo Sanguinetti
- 18Reinaldo Piussi
- 19Diego Magno
- 20Santiago Civetta
- 21Manuel Diana
- 22Santiago Gini
- 23Joaquín Suárez
Scotland
- 1Rory Sutherland+8.1
- 2Ewan Ashman-11.1
- 3Javan Sebastian
- 4Max Williamson+11.5
- 5Gregor Brown-6.0
- 6Luke Crosbie
- 7Rory Darge-13.6
- 8Matt Fagerson-11.0
- 9George Horne+4.6
- 10Ben Healy
- 11Duhan van der Merwe-6.2
- 12Stafford McDowall+9.8
- 13Huw Jones-6.4
- 14Kyle Rowe+7.4
- 15Harry Paterson
Replacements
- 16Patrick Harrison
- 17Pierre Schoeman
- 18Murphy Walker
- 19Ewan Johnson
- 20Jamie Ritchie-7.2
- 21Jamie Dobie
- 22Adam Hastings+8.7
- 23Kyle Steyn+2.9
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Discipline
| Uruguay | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | — |
Scoring
| Uruguay | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tries | 5 |
| 2 | Conversions | 3 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.