Argentina v England
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
24 – 31
18 July 2026Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades
What the model says about Argentina v England
- Kick-off
- 19:10 UTC
- Elevation
- 186 m
- Temperature
- 21.6 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 19 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
-27.76602,-64.26986 · imagery by Esri · Google Maps
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 28 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Argentina
- 1Mayco Vivas+2.5
- 2Julián Montoya
- 3Tomas Rapetti
- 4Guido Petti-1.9
- 5Matías Alemanno+1.7
- 6Santiago Grondona-4.3
- 7Marcos Kremer-0.0
- 8Joaquín Oviedo+10.7
- 9Gonzalo Garcia+1.8
- 10Tomas Albornoz+6.7
- 11Mateo Carreras+1.7
- 12Justo Piccardo
- 13Matías Moroni-12.4
- 14Bautista Delguy+4.7
- 15Santiago Carreras
Replacements
- 16Ignacio Ruiz+10.3
- 17Boris Wenger
- 18Pedro Delgado
- 19Efraín Elías
- 20Pablo Matera-1.1
- 21Joaquin Moro
- 22Simon Benitez Cruz
- 23Lucio Cinti-5.6
England
- 1Ellis Genge-12.8
- 2Jamie George-3.9
- 3Joe Heyes
- 4Alex Coles-2.3
- 5George Martin+7.1
- 6Ollie Chessum-2.0
- 7Guy Pepper
- 8Ben Earl+3.7
- 9Jack van Poortvliet+2.8
- 10Fin Smith+5.1
- 11Immanuel Feyi-Waboso+0.6
- 12Seb Atkinson
- 13Henry Slade0.0
- 14Tommy Freeman
- 15Marcus Smith-0.6
Replacements
- 16Luke Cowan-Dickie+1.3
- 17Emmanuel Iyogun
- 18George Kloska
- 19Tom Curry+0.8
- 20Henry Pollock
- 21Ben Spencer-1.4
- 22Benhard Janse van Rensburg
- 23Noah Caluori
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Argentina | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0% | Possession | 37.0% |
| 60.0% | Territory | 40.0% |
Attack
| Argentina | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 187 | Carries | 100 |
| 517m | Carry metres | 417m |
| 7 | Clean breaks | 8 |
| 53 | Defenders beaten | 31 |
| 7 | Offloads | 6 |
| 230 | Passes | 140 |
Defence
| Argentina | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 123 | Tackles made | 275 |
| 73.0% | Tackle success | 81.0% |
| 31 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 53 |
| 3 | Dominant tackles | 7 |
| 3 | Turnovers won | 7 |
Set pieces
| Argentina | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 81.0% | Lineout success | 89.0% |
| 13 | Lineouts won | 8 |
| 100.0% | Scrum success | 100.0% |
| 4 | Scrums won | 5 |
Breakdown
| Argentina | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 98.0% | Ruck success | 99.0% |
| 150 | Rucks won | 71 |
| 4 | Mauls won | 2 |
Kicking
| Argentina | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kicks from hand | 25 |
| 505m | Kick metres | 651m |
Discipline
| Argentina | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 4 |
| 7 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 9 |
Scoring
| Argentina | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tries | 5 |
| 2 | Conversions | 3 |
| 1 | Penalty goals | — |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.