Australia v Romania
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
57 – 9
3 October 1999Affidea Stadium, Belfast · neutral venue
What the model says about Australia v Romania
- Kick-off
- 17:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 15 m
- Temperature
- 9.8 °C
- Rainfall
- 1.4 mm
- Wind
- 32 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 5 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Australia
- 1Richard Harry
- 2Phil Kearns
- 3Andrew Blades
- 4David Giffin+0.8
- 5John Eales(c)
- 6Owen Finegan
- 7David Wilson
- 8Toutai Kefu
- 9George Gregan
- 10Rod Kafer
- 11Jason Little
- 12Tim Horan
- 13Dan Herbert
- 14Ben Tune-0.3
- 15Matt Burke
Replacements
- 16Joe Roff-6.5
- 17Nathan Grey+10.3
- 18Chris Whitaker
- 19Tiaan Strauss
- 20Dan Crowley
- 21Mark Connors
- 22Jeremy Paul+10.0
Romania
- 1Constantin Stan
- 2Petru Balan
- 3Laurentiu Rotaru
- 4Tiberiu Brinza
- 5Ovidiu Slusariuc
- 6Alin Petrache
- 7Erdinci Septar
- 8Catalin Draguceanu
- 9Petre Mitu
- 10Roland Vusec
- 11Gheorghe Solomie
- 12Romeo Gontineac(c)
- 13Gabriel Brezoianu
- 14Cristian Sauan
- 15Mihai Vioreanu
Replacements
- 16Florin Corodeanu
- 17Daniel Chiriac
- 18Nicolae Dragos Dima
- 19Razvan Mavrodin
- 20Marius Iacob
- 21Ionut Tofan
- 22Radu Fugigi
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.