France v Namibia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
47 – 13
8 October 1999Stade Chaban-Delmas, Bordeaux
What the model says about France v Namibia
- Kick-off
- 17:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 13 m
- Temperature
- 11.7 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 9 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 7 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Christian Califano-10.0
- 2Raphael Ibanez(c)-4.5
- 3Franck Tournaire
- 4Olivier Brouzet
- 5Fabien Pelous+1.3
- 6Marc Lievremont
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Thomas Lievremont-3.7
- 9Pierre Mignoni-1.1
- 10Christophe Lamaison
- 11Philippe Bernat-Salles
- 12Stephane Glas
- 13Richard Dourthe
- 14Emile Ntamack
- 15Ugo Mola
Replacements
- 16Cedric Desbrosse
- 17Xavier Garbajosa-2.6
- 18Stephane Castaignede
- 19Arnaud Costes
- 20Abdelatif Benazzi
- 21Cedric Soulette
- 22Marc dal Maso
Namibia
- 1Mario Jacobs
- 2Hugo Horn
- 3Jood Opperman
- 4Heino Senekal
- 5Pieter Steyn
- 6Quinn Hough(c)
- 7Thys van Rooyen
- 8Sean Furter
- 9Riaan Jantjies
- 10Johan Zaayman
- 11Attie Samuelson
- 12Schalk van der Merwe
- 13Francois van Rensburg
- 14Lean van Dyk
- 15Glovin van Wyk
Replacements
- 16Cliff Loubser
- 17Sarel Janse van Rensburg
- 18Duimpie Theron
- 19Herman Lintvelt
- 20Andries Blaauw
- 21Eben Smith
- 22Lukas Holtzhausen
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.