Scotland v Uruguay
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
43 – 12
8 October 1999Scottish Gas Murrayfield, Edinburgh
What the model says about Scotland v Uruguay
- Kick-off
- 14:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 49 m
- Temperature
- 11.0 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 24 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 1 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Scotland
- 1Tom Smith
- 2Gordon Bulloch
- 3George Graham
- 4Scott Murray
- 5Stuart Grimes
- 6Martin Leslie
- 7Budge Pountney
- 8Gordon Simpson
- 9Gary Armstrong(c)
- 10Gregor Townsend
- 11Kenny Logan
- 12Jamie Mayer
- 13Alan Tait
- 14Cammie Murray
- 15Glenn Metcalfe
Replacements
- 16Bryan Redpath
- 17Peter Walton
- 18Dave Hilton
- 19Robbie Russell+3.0
- 20Shaun Longstaff
- 21Duncan Hodge
- 22Doddie Weir
Uruguay
- 1Rodrigo Sanchez
- 2Diego Lamelas
- 3Pablo Lemoine
- 4Juan Carlos Bado
- 5Mario Lame
- 6Nicolas Brignoni
- 7Martin Panizza
- 8Diego Ormaechea(c)
- 9Federico Sciarra
- 10Diego Aguirre
- 11Pablo Costabile
- 12Martin Mendaro
- 13Pedro Vecino
- 14Juan Menchaca
- 15Alfonso Cardoso
Replacements
- 16Jose Viana
- 17Fernando Sosa Diaz
- 18Nicolas Grille
- 19Eduardo Berruti
- 20Agustin Ponce de Leon
- 21Guillermo Storace
- 22Francisco de los Santos
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.