Argentina v Japan
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
33 – 12
16 October 1999Principality Stadium, Cardiff · neutral venue
What the model says about Argentina v Japan
- Kick-off
- 17:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 9 m
- Temperature
- 11.8 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 15 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 1 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Argentina
- 1Mauricio Reggiardo
- 2Mario Ledesma Arocena
- 3Omar Hasan Jalil
- 4Pedro Sporleder
- 5Alejandro Allub
- 6Santiago Phelan
- 7Rolando Martin
- 8Ignacio Fernandez Lobbe
- 9Agustin Pichot
- 10Gonzalo Quesada
- 11Diego Albanese
- 12Lisandro Arbizu(c)
- 13Eduardo Simone
- 14Gonzalo Camardon
- 15Ignacio Corleto
Replacements
- 16Felipe Contepomi-2.0
- 17Miguel Ruiz
- 18Lucas Ostiglia
- 19Jose Orengo
- 20Nicolas Fernandez Miranda
- 21Agustin Canalda
- 22Martin Scelzo
Japan
- 1Toshikazu Nakamichi
- 2Masahiro Kunda
- 3Kohei Oguchi
- 4Rob Gordon
- 5Hiroyuki Tanuma
- 6Naoya Okubo
- 7Greg Smith
- 8Jamie Joseph
- 9Graeme Bachop
- 10Keiji Hirose
- 11Pat Tuidraki
- 12Yukio Motoki
- 13Andrew McCormick(c)
- 14Daisuke Ohata
- 15Tsutomu Matsuda
Replacements
- 16Takeomi Ito
- 17Naoto Nakamura
- 18Shin Hasegawa
- 19Masaaki Sakata
- 20Terunori Masuho
- 21Wataru Murata
- 22Yoshihiko Sakuraba
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.