France v Fiji
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
28 – 19
16 October 1999Stade Toulouse, Toulouse
What the model says about France v Fiji
- Kick-off
- 10:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 140 m
- Temperature
- 15.8 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 13 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 8 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Christian Califano-10.0
- 2Raphael Ibanez(c)-4.5
- 3Franck Tournaire
- 4Abdelatif Benazzi
- 5Fabien Pelous+1.3
- 6Marc Lievremont
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Christophe Juillet
- 9Stephane Castaignede
- 10Christophe Lamaison
- 11Christophe Dominici-5.2
- 12Emile Ntamack
- 13Richard Dourthe
- 14Philippe Bernat-Salles
- 15Ugo Mola
Replacements
- 16Xavier Garbajosa-2.6
- 17Fabien Galthie+6.5
- 18Arnaud Costes
- 19Olivier Brouzet
- 20Marc dal Maso
- 21Cedric Desbrosse
- 22Pieter de Villiers-5.0
Fiji
- 1Dan Rouse
- 2Greg Smith(c)
- 3Joeli Veitayaki
- 4Simon Raiwalui
- 5Emori Katalau
- 6Ilie Tabua Tamanivalu
- 7Seta Tawake Naivaluwaqa
- 8Alfi Mocelutu Vuivau
- 9Jacob Rauluni
- 10Nicky Little
- 11Manasa Bari
- 12Waisake Sotutu
- 13Viliame Satala
- 14Fero Lasagavibau
- 15Alfie Uluinayau
Replacements
- 16Moses Rauluni
- 17Waisale Serevi
- 18Meli Nakauta
- 19Koli Sewabu
- 20Ifereimi Tawake
- 21Isaia Rasila
- 22Epeli Naituivau
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.