Scotland v Spain
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
48 – 0
16 October 1999Scottish Gas Murrayfield, Edinburgh
What the model says about Scotland v Spain
- Kick-off
- 13:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 49 m
- Temperature
- 10.4 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 13 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 2 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Scotland
- 1Dave Hilton
- 2Robbie Russell+3.0
- 3Paul Burnell
- 4Doddie Weir
- 5Andy Reed
- 6Peter Walton
- 7Cameron Mather
- 8Stuart Reid
- 9Bryan Redpath(c)
- 10Duncan Hodge
- 11Shaun Longstaff
- 12James McLaren
- 13Jamie Mayer
- 14Cammie Murray
- 15Chris Paterson+1.8
Replacements
- 16Gregor Townsend
- 17Iain Fairley
- 18Glenn Metcalfe
- 19Martin Leslie
- 20Stuart Grimes
- 21George Graham
- 22Gordon Bulloch
Spain
- 1Victor Torres Funes
- 2Diego Zarzosa Pena
- 3Jose Ignacio Zapatero Ferreras
- 4Jose Miguel Villau Cabeza
- 5Oscar Astarloa Uriarte
- 6Jose Diaz
- 7Carlos Souto Vidal
- 8Alfonso Mata Suarez
- 9Aratz Gallastegui Sodupe
- 10Andrei Kovalenco
- 11Miguel Angel Frechilla Manrique
- 12Sebastien Loubsens
- 13Alvar Enciso Fernandez-Valderama(c)
- 14Jose Ignacio Inchausti Bravo
- 15Francisco Puertas Soto
Replacements
- 16Ferran Velazco Querol
- 17Alberto Socias Olmos
- 18Agustin Malet Raga
- 19Steve Tuineau Iloa
- 20Luis Javier Martinez Villanueva
- 21Fernando de la Calle Pozo
- 22Jaime Alonso-Lasheras Rivero
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.