Australia v Romania
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
90 – 8
18 October 2003Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
What the model says about Australia v Romania
- Kick-off
- 06:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 19 m
- Temperature
- 18.6 °C
- Rainfall
- 2.3 mm
- Wind
- 16 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 7 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Australia
- 1Bill Young
- 2Brendan Cannon
- 3Al Baxter
- 4Dan Vickerman-0.6
- 5Nathan Sharpe+6.6
- 6George Smith
- 7Phil Waugh
- 8David Lyons-0.2
- 9George Gregan(c)
- 10Stephen Larkham
- 11Joe Roff-6.5
- 12Elton Flatley
- 13Matt Burke
- 14Wendell Sailor
- 15Mat Rogers
Replacements
- 16Jeremy Paul+10.0
- 17Ben Darwin
- 18Justin Harrison
- 19Matt Cockbain
- 20Matt Giteau+3.8
- 21Stirling Mortlock+4.4
- 22Lote Tuqiri
Romania
- 1Petrisor Toderasc
- 2Razvan Mavrodin
- 3Silviu Florea
- 4Sorin Socol
- 5Cristian Petre
- 6Marius Nicolae
- 7Ovidiu Tonita
- 8George Chiriac
- 9Lucian Sirbu
- 10Ionut Tofan
- 11Cristian Sauan
- 12Romeo Gontineac(c)
- 13Valentin Maftei
- 14Gabriel Brezoianu
- 15Dan Dumbrava
Replacements
- 16Cezar Popescu
- 17Marcel Socaciu
- 18Alex Tudori
- 19Bogdan Tudor
- 20Cristian Podea
- 21Mihai Vioreanu
- 22Ion Teodorescu
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Australia | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 93.0% | Possession | 7.0% |
Attack
| Australia | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 1097m | Carry metres | 187m |
| 23 | Clean breaks | — |
| 32 | Defenders beaten | 4 |
| 16 | Offloads | 8 |
| 210 | Passes | 67 |
Defence
| Australia | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 63 | Tackles made | 164 |
| 94.0% | Tackle success | 84.0% |
| 4 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 32 |
| 2 | Turnovers won | 5 |
Set pieces
| Australia | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 91.7% | Lineout success | 68.8% |
| 11 | Lineouts won | 11 |
| 12 | Scrums won | 7 |
Breakdown
| Australia | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 93 | Rucks won | 35 |
| 3 | Mauls won | 5 |
Kicking
| Australia | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kicks from hand | 22 |
| 790m | Kick metres | 601m |
Discipline
| Australia | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 7 |
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 11 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 7 |
Scoring
| Australia | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tries | 1 |
| 11 | Conversions | — |
| 1 | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.