Argentina v Romania
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
50 – 3
22 October 2003Allianz Stadium, Sydney · neutral venue
What the model says about Argentina v Romania
- Kick-off
- 10:30 UTC
- Elevation
- 38 m
- Temperature
- 16.0 °C
- Rainfall
- 1.1 mm
- Wind
- 25 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 1 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Argentina
- 1Rodrigo Roncero
- 2Mario Ledesma Arocena
- 3Martin Scelzo
- 4Pedro Sporleder
- 5Patricio Albacete
- 6Santiago Phelan(c)
- 7Martin Durand
- 8Pablo Bouza
- 9Nicolas Fernandez Miranda
- 10Juan Fernandez Miranda
- 11Hernan Senillosa
- 12Manuel Contepomi
- 13Martin Gaitan
- 14Jose Nunez Piossek
- 15Juan Martin Hernandez+0.3
Replacements
- 16Federico Mendez Azpillaga
- 17Omar Hasan Jalil
- 18Rimas Alvarez Kairelis
- 19Rolando Martin
- 20Agustin Pichot
- 21Gonzalo Quesada
- 22Jose Orengo
Romania
- 1Petrisor Toderasc
- 2Razvan Mavrodin
- 3Silviu Florea
- 4Sorin Socol
- 5Cristian Petre
- 6Alex Tudori
- 7Ovidiu Tonita
- 8George Chiriac
- 9Lucian Sirbu
- 10Ionut Tofan
- 11Ion Teodorescu
- 12Romeo Gontineac(c)
- 13Valentin Maftei
- 14Mihai Vioreanu
- 15Gabriel Brezoianu
Replacements
- 16Paulica Ion
- 17Cezar Popescu
- 18Augustin Petrechei
- 19Vasile Ghioc
- 20Cornel Tatu
- 21Iulian Andrei
- 22Cristian Sauan
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Argentina | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | Possession | — |
Attack
| Argentina | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 584m | Carry metres | 271m |
| 18 | Clean breaks | 3 |
| 33 | Defenders beaten | 7 |
| 13 | Offloads | 6 |
| 136 | Passes | 64 |
Defence
| Argentina | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | Tackles made | 75 |
| 87.0% | Tackle success | 69.0% |
| 7 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 33 |
| 9 | Turnovers won | 8 |
Set pieces
| Argentina | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8% | Lineout success | 66.7% |
| 17 | Lineouts won | 10 |
| 11 | Scrums won | 10 |
Breakdown
| Argentina | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 54 | Rucks won | 34 |
| 13 | Mauls won | 7 |
Kicking
| Argentina | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Kicks from hand | 26 |
| 944m | Kick metres | 747m |
Discipline
| Argentina | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 20 |
| 13 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 15 |
Scoring
| Argentina | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tries | — |
| 6 | Conversions | — |
| 1 | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.