Australia v Namibia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
142 – 0
25 October 2003Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
What the model says about Australia v Namibia
- Kick-off
- 06:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 23 m
- Temperature
- 12.5 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.2 mm
- Wind
- 29 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 9 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Australia
- 1Matt Dunning+1.3
- 2Jeremy Paul+10.0
- 3Ben Darwin
- 4Justin Harrison
- 5Nathan Sharpe+6.6
- 6George Smith
- 7David Croft
- 8David Lyons-0.2
- 9Chris Whitaker(c)
- 10Matt Giteau+3.8
- 11Mat Rogers
- 12Nathan Grey+10.3
- 13Stirling Mortlock+4.4
- 14Lote Tuqiri
- 15Chris Latham+0.2
Replacements
Namibia
- 1Kees Lensing
- 2Cor van Tonder
- 3Niel du Toit
- 4Heino Senekal
- 5Eben Isaacs
- 6Shaun van Rooi
- 7Herman Lintvelt
- 8Jurgens van Lill
- 9Hakkies Husselman(c)
- 10Mot Schreuder
- 11Jurie Booysen
- 12Emile Wessels
- 13Du Preez Grobler
- 14Deon Mouton
- 15Ronaldo Pedro
Replacements
- 16Philip Isaacs
- 17Andries Blaauw
- 18Schalk van der Merwe
- 19Sean Furter
- 20Niel Swanepoel
- 21Deon Grunschloss
- 22Melrick Africa
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Australia | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | Possession | — |
Attack
| Australia | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 1580m | Carry metres | 106m |
| 50 | Clean breaks | — |
| 85 | Defenders beaten | 6 |
| 18 | Offloads | 6 |
| 263 | Passes | 66 |
Defence
| Australia | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 70 | Tackles made | 145 |
| 92.0% | Tackle success | 63.0% |
| 6 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 85 |
| 11 | Turnovers won | 5 |
Set pieces
| Australia | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| — | Lineout success | 83.3% |
| 7 | Lineouts won | 10 |
| 11 | Scrums won | 9 |
Breakdown
| Australia | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 96 | Rucks won | 41 |
| 7 | Mauls won | 4 |
Kicking
| Australia | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kicks from hand | 8 |
| 119m | Kick metres | 200m |
Discipline
| Australia | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 9 |
| 12 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 7 |
Scoring
| Australia | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Tries | — |
| 16 | Conversions | — |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.