Argentina v Georgia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
33 – 3
11 September 2007Matmut Stadium de Gerland, Lyon · neutral venue
What the model says about Argentina v Georgia
- Kick-off
- 18:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 172 m
- Temperature
- 15.6 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 24 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 4 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Argentina
- 1Marcos Ayerza+10.6
- 2Mario Ledesma Arocena
- 3Santiago Gonzalez Bonorino
- 4Rimas Alvarez Kairelis
- 5Patricio Albacete
- 6Martin Durand
- 7Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe
- 8Juan Manuel Leguizamon+1.3
- 9Nicolas Fernandez Miranda
- 10Juan Martin Hernandez+0.3
- 11Federico Aramburu
- 12Felipe Contepomi(c)-2.0
- 13Gonzalo Tiesi
- 14Lucas Borges
- 15Ignacio Corleto
Replacements
Georgia
- 1Davit Khinchagashvili
- 2Akvsenti Giorgadze
- 3Davit Zirakashvili
- 4Ilia Zedginidze(c)
- 5Mamuka Gorgodze
- 6Giorgi Chkhaidze
- 7Grigol Labadze
- 8Beso Udessiani
- 9Irakli Abuseridze
- 10Merab Kvirikashvili
- 11Beso Khamashuridze
- 12Irakli Giorgadze
- 13Malkhaz Urjukashvili
- 14Irakli Machkhaneli
- 15Paliko Jimsheladze
Replacements
- 16Goderdzi Shvelidze
- 17Avto Kopaliani
- 18Victor Didebulidze
- 19Zviad Maisuradze
- 20Bidzina Samkharadze
- 21Revaz Gigauri
- 22Giorgi Shkinin
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 55.0% | Possession | 45.0% |
| 63.0% | Territory | 37.0% |
Attack
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 529m | Carry metres | 158m |
| 13 | Defenders beaten | 5 |
| 12 | Offloads | 4 |
| 130 | Passes | 60 |
Defence
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 76 | Tackles made | 111 |
| 5 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 13 |
| 6 | Turnovers won | 13 |
Set pieces
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| — | Lineout success | 81.3% |
| 17 | Lineouts won | 13 |
| 6 | Scrums won | 11 |
Breakdown
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 85 | Rucks won | 58 |
| 9 | Mauls won | 3 |
Discipline
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 9 |
| 9 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 3 |
Scoring
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tries | — |
| 2 | Conversions | — |
| 3 | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.