Argentina v Namibia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
Orange Velodrome, Marseille · neutral venue
What the model says about Argentina v Namibia
- Kick-off
- 19:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 8 m
- Temperature
- 19.3 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 15 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 2 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Argentina
- 1Rodrigo Roncero
- 2Alberto Vernet Basualdo
- 3Omar Hasan Jalil
- 4Ignacio Fernandez Lobbe
- 5Patricio Albacete
- 6Lucas Ostiglia
- 7Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe
- 8Juan Manuel Leguizamon+1.3
- 9Agustin Pichot(c)
- 10Felipe Contepomi-2.0
- 11Horacio Agulla
- 12Manuel Contepomi
- 13Gonzalo Tiesi
- 14Hernan Senillosa
- 15Ignacio Corleto
Replacements
- 16Mario Ledesma Arocena
- 17Martin Scelzo
- 18Rimas Alvarez Kairelis
- 19Gonzalo Longo Elia
- 20Nicolas Fernandez Miranda
- 21Federico Todeschini
- 22Federico Serra Miras
Namibia
- 1Johnny Redelinghuys
- 2JM Meyer
- 3Marius Visser
- 4Wacca Kazombiaze
- 5Nico Esterhuyse
- 6Michael MacKenzie
- 7Jacques Burger
- 8Tinus du Plessis
- 9Eugene Jantjies
- 10Mot Schreuder
- 11Melrick Africa
- 12Corne Powell(c)
- 13Du Preez Grobler
- 14Deon Mouton
- 15Heini Bock
Replacements
- 16Hugo Horn
- 17Kees Lensing
- 18Herman Lintvelt
- 19Heino Senekal
- 20Jurie van Tonder
- 21Bradley Langenhoven
- 22Piet van Zyl
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Argentina | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0% | Possession | 32.0% |
| 75.0% | Territory | 25.0% |
Attack
| Argentina | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 803m | Carry metres | 159m |
| 25 | Defenders beaten | 2 |
| 13 | Offloads | 2 |
| 150 | Passes | 43 |
Defence
| Argentina | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | Tackles made | 120 |
| 2 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 25 |
| 6 | Turnovers won | 4 |
Set pieces
| Argentina | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 85.0% | Lineout success | 73.3% |
| 17 | Lineouts won | 11 |
| 9 | Scrums won | 11 |
Breakdown
| Argentina | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 86 | Rucks won | 30 |
| 9 | Mauls won | 5 |
Discipline
| Argentina | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 7 |
| 7 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 9 |
Scoring
| Argentina | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tries | — |
| 6 | Conversions | — |
| 2 | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.