France v Romania
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
38 – 11
23 September 2015London Stadium, London · neutral venue
What the model says about France v Romania
- Kick-off
- 19:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 10 m
- Temperature
- 13.1 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 20 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 14 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Vincent Debaty
- 2Dimitri Szarzewski(c)-0.3
- 3Uini Atonio+0.4
- 4Bernard Le Roux+3.0
- 5Alexandre Flanquart
- 6Yannick Nyanga Kabasele+2.5
- 7Fulgence Ouedraogo-0.3
- 8Louis Picamoles-2.7
- 9Morgan Parra-0.8
- 10Remi Tales
- 11Noa Nakaitaci
- 12Wesley Fofana-9.3
- 13Gaël Fickou+2.9
- 14Sofiane Guitoune
- 15Brice Dulin-3.5
Replacements
- 16Benjamin Kayser-4.5
- 17Eddy Ben Arous
- 18Nicolas Mas-1.0
- 19Yoann Maestri
- 20Damien Chouly
- 21Rory Kockott
- 22Frederic Michalak+2.7
- 23Mathieu Bastareaud-0.6
Romania
- 1Mihaita Lazar
- 2Otar Turashvili
- 3Paulica Ion
- 4Valentin Poparlan
- 5Johan van Heerden
- 6Valentin Ursache
- 7Viorel Lucaci
- 8Mihai Macovei(c)
- 9Florin Surugiu
- 10Dan Dumbrava
- 11Adrian Apostol
- 12Florin Vlaicu
- 13Paula Kinikinilau
- 14Madalin Lemnaru
- 15Catalin Fercu
Replacements
- 16Andrei Radoi
- 17Andrei Ursache
- 18Horatiu Pungea
- 19Ovidiu Tonita
- 20Stelian Burcea
- 21Valentin Calafeteanu
- 22Ionut Botezatu
- 23Csaba Gal
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| France | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 55.0% | Possession | 45.0% |
| 57.0% | Territory | 43.0% |
Attack
| France | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 503m | Carry metres | 163m |
| 9 | Clean breaks | 2 |
| 27 | Defenders beaten | 6 |
| 10 | Offloads | 4 |
| 135 | Passes | 82 |
Defence
| France | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 82 | Tackles made | 105 |
| 93.0% | Tackle success | 80.0% |
| 6 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 27 |
| 6 | Turnovers won | 11 |
Set pieces
| France | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 86.7% | Lineout success | 58.3% |
| 13 | Lineouts won | 7 |
| 4 | Scrums won | 6 |
Breakdown
| France | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 68 | Rucks won | 57 |
| 9 | Mauls won | 3 |
Kicking
| France | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kicks from hand | 21 |
| 479m | Kick metres | 460m |
Discipline
| France | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 9 |
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 16 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 9 |
Scoring
| France | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tries | 1 |
| 5 | Conversions | — |
| 1 | Penalty goals | 2 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.