Japan v Russia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
What the model says about Japan v Russia
Conditions
- Kick-off
- 10:45 UTC
- Elevation
- 66 m
- Temperature
- 21.2 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.2 mm
- Wind
- 17 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
The ground from above
Matchday squads
Japan
- 1Keita Inagaki
- 2Shota Horie
- 3Asaeli Ai Valu
- 4Wimpie van der Walt
- 5James Moore
- 6Michael Leitch(c)
- 7Pieter Labuschagne
- 8Kazuki Himeno
- 9Yutaka Nagare
- 10Yu Tamura
- 11Lomano Lemeki
- 12Ryoto Nakamura
- 13Timothy Lafaele
- 14Kotaro Matsushima
- 15William Tupou
Replacements
Russia
- 1Valery Morozov
- 2Stanislav Selskii
- 3Kirill Gotovtsev
- 4Andrei Ostrikov
- 5Bogdan Fedotko
- 6Vitaly Zhivatov
- 7Tagir Gadzhiev
- 8Nikita Vavilin
- 9Vasily Dorofeev
- 10Yuri Kushnarev
- 11Kirill Golosnitskiy
- 12Dimitry Gerasimov
- 13Vladimir Ostroushko
- 14German Davydov
- 15Vasily Artemyev(c)
Replacements
- 16Evgeny Matveev
- 17Andrei Polivalov
- 18Azamat Bitiev
- 19Andrey Garbuzov
- 20Anton Sychev
- 21Dmitry Perov
- 22Ramil Gaisin
- 23Vladislav Sozonov
What happened in the phases
Possession and territory
| Japan | Measure | Russia |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% | Possession | 50.0% |
| 48.0% | Territory | 52.0% |
Attack
| Japan | Measure | Russia |
|---|---|---|
| 653m | Carry metres | 289m |
| 16 | Clean breaks | 11 |
| 48 | Defenders beaten | 21 |
| 9 | Offloads | 4 |
| 183 | Passes | 101 |
Defence
| Japan | Measure | Russia |
|---|---|---|
| 134 | Tackles made | 144 |
| 86.0% | Tackle success | 75.0% |
| 21 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 48 |
| 7 | Turnovers won | 11 |
Set pieces
| Japan | Measure | Russia |
|---|---|---|
| 92.9% | Lineout success | 88.9% |
| 13 | Lineouts won | 8 |
| 4 | Scrums won | 13 |
Breakdown
| Japan | Measure | Russia |
|---|---|---|
| 96 | Rucks won | 89 |
| 1 | Mauls won | 1 |
Kicking
| Japan | Measure | Russia |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Kicks from hand | 39 |
| 933m | Kick metres | 1060m |
Discipline
| Japan | Measure | Russia |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 5 |
| 15 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 11 |
Scoring
| Japan | Measure | Russia |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tries | 1 |
| 2 | Conversions | 1 |
| 2 | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.