Georgia v Fiji

What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.

10 – 453 October 2019

Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Osaka

What the model says about Georgia v Fiji

Conditions
Kick-off
05:15 UTC
Elevation
9 m
Temperature
25.0 °C
Rainfall
14.6 mm
Wind
23 km/h

Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.

The ground from above
Satellite view of Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Osaka
Explore Hanazono Rugby Stadium in Google Earth

34.66930,135.62657 · imagery by Esri · Google Maps

Matchday squads

Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 1 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.

Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.

What happened in the phases

Possession and territory

GeorgiaMeasureFiji
46.0%

Possession

54.0%
45.0%

Territory

55.0%

Attack

GeorgiaMeasureFiji
343m

Carry metres

559m
10

Clean breaks

19
16

Defenders beaten

41
7

Offloads

10
72

Passes

155

Defence

GeorgiaMeasureFiji
94

Tackles made

86
70.0%

Tackle success

84.0%
41

Missed tackles(fewer is better)

16
5

Turnovers won

11

Set pieces

GeorgiaMeasureFiji
—

Lineout success

92.9%
10

Lineouts won

13
6

Scrums won

6

Breakdown

GeorgiaMeasureFiji
46

Rucks won

56
3

Mauls won

—

Kicking

GeorgiaMeasureFiji
19

Kicks from hand

21
519m

Kick metres

737m

Discipline

GeorgiaMeasureFiji
13

Penalties conceded(fewer is better)

8
5

Knock-ons(fewer is better)

12

Scoring

GeorgiaMeasureFiji
1

Tries

7
1

Conversions

5
1

Penalty goals

—

Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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