Fiji v Portugal
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
23 – 24
8 October 2023Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
What the model says about Fiji v Portugal
- Kick-off
- 19:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 140 m
- Temperature
- 20.3 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 18 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 1 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Fiji
- 1Eroni Mawi
- 2Sam Matavesi
- 3Luke Tagi
- 4Isoa Nasilasila
- 5Temo Mayanavanua
- 6Meli Derenalagi
- 7Levani Botia
- 8Viliame Mata
- 9Frank Lomani
- 10Vilimoni Botitu
- 11Vinaya Habosi
- 12Josua Tuisova
- 13Waisea Nayacalevu(c)
- 14Selestino Ravutaumada
- 15Sireli Maqala
Replacements
- 16Tevita Ikanivere
- 17Peni Ravai+5.9
- 18Mesake Doge
- 19Te Ahiwaru Cirikidaveta
- 20Albert Tuisue
- 21Peni Matawalu
- 22Teti Tela
- 23Iosefo Masi
Portugal
- 1Francisco Fernandes
- 2Mike Tadjer
- 3Diogo Hasse Ferreira
- 4José Madeira
- 5Steevy Cerqueira
- 6David Wallis
- 7Nicolas Martins
- 8Rafael Simoes
- 9Samuel Marques
- 10Jeronimo Portela
- 11Rodrigo Marta
- 12Jose Lima(c)
- 13Pedro Bettencourt
- 14Raffaele Storti
- 15Manuel Cardoso Pinto
Replacements
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Fiji | Measure | Portugal |
|---|---|---|
| 54.0% | Possession | 46.0% |
| 58.0% | Territory | 42.0% |
Attack
| Fiji | Measure | Portugal |
|---|---|---|
| 737m | Carry metres | 558m |
| 6 | Clean breaks | 8 |
| 32 | Defenders beaten | 22 |
| 7 | Offloads | 13 |
| 143 | Passes | 139 |
Defence
| Fiji | Measure | Portugal |
|---|---|---|
| 90 | Tackles made | 171 |
| 66.0% | Tackle success | 76.0% |
| 22 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 32 |
| 6 | Dominant tackles | 8 |
| 7 | Turnovers won | 9 |
Set pieces
| Fiji | Measure | Portugal |
|---|---|---|
| 88.0% | Lineout success | 75.0% |
| 15 | Lineouts won | 12 |
| 67.0% | Scrum success | 50.0% |
| 2 | Scrums won | 3 |
Breakdown
| Fiji | Measure | Portugal |
|---|---|---|
| 95.0% | Ruck success | 95.0% |
| 96 | Rucks won | 59 |
| 4 | Mauls won | 5 |
Kicking
| Fiji | Measure | Portugal |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kicks from hand | 37 |
| 996m | Kick metres | 1112m |
Discipline
| Fiji | Measure | Portugal |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | — |
| 8 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 7 |
Scoring
| Fiji | Measure | Portugal |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tries | 3 |
| 2 | Conversions | 3 |
| 3 | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.