Canada v Belgium
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
18 – 2512 July 2025Clarke Stadium, Edmonton
Conditions
- Kick-off
- 23:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 664 m
- Temperature
- 22.1 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 26 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
The ground from above
Matchday squads
Canada
- 1Calixto Martinez
- 2Andrew Quattrin
- 3Cole Keith
- 4Piers von Dadelszen
- 5Izzak Kelly
- 6Matt Heaton
- 7Lucas Rumball(c)
- 8Matt Oworu
- 9Brock Gallagher
- 10Cooper Coats
- 11Josiah Morra
- 12Talon McMullin
- 13Noah Flesch
- 14Isaac Olson
- 15Brenden Black
Replacements
Belgium
- 1Charlesty Berguet
- 2Bruno Vliegen
- 3Jean-Baptiste De Clercq
- 4Toon Deceuninck
- 5Arthur Smeets
- 6Felipe Geraghty
- 7Jeremie Brasseur
- 8Lucas Rassinfosse
- 9Isaac Montoisy
- 10Matias Remue
- 11Dazzy Cornez
- 12Jens Torfs(c)
- 13Florian Remue
- 14Thomas Wallraf
- 15Simeon Soenen
Replacements
- 16Seppe Verelst
- 17Alexandre Raynier
- 18Basile Van Parys
- 19Dries De Keyser
- 20Tom Calomme
- 21Julien Berger
- 22Hugo De Francq
- 23Guillem Fernandez Grau
What happened in the phases
Possession and territory
| Canada | Measure | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| 61.0% | Possession | 39.0% |
| 58.0% | Territory | 42.0% |
Attack
| Canada | Measure | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| 157 | Carries | 81 |
| 436m | Carry metres | 486m |
| 6 | Clean breaks | 7 |
| 17 | Defenders beaten | 22 |
| 11 | Offloads | 5 |
| 212 | Passes | 89 |
Defence
| Canada | Measure | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| 84 | Tackles made | 195 |
| 75.0% | Tackle success | 82.0% |
| 22 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 17 |
| 5 | Dominant tackles | 20 |
| 7 | Turnovers won | 7 |
Set pieces
| Canada | Measure | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| 95.0% | Lineout success | 80.0% |
| 18 | Lineouts won | 8 |
| 100.0% | Scrum success | 100.0% |
| 9 | Scrums won | 4 |
Breakdown
| Canada | Measure | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| 95.0% | Ruck success | 93.0% |
| 124 | Rucks won | 52 |
| 7 | Mauls won | 2 |
Kicking
| Canada | Measure | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kicks from hand | 18 |
| 524m | Kick metres | 529m |
Discipline
| Canada | Measure | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 12 |
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 2 |
| 7 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 5 |
Scoring
| Canada | Measure | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tries | 3 |
| — | Conversions | 2 |
| 1 | Penalty goals | 2 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.