Team profiles

Canada

Five years of results, read from this team's own point of view.

Rating

13

Below average — bottom 4% · Glicko-2 661 ±91

Record

4-0-14

22.2% of 18 matches in the last five years

Average margin

-10.7

22.8 for, 33.5 against

Home advantage

-0.9

Points per match better at home

Attack

-11%

22.8 scored per match, against the placed field's average

Defence

-20%

33.5 conceded per match; positive is fewer than average

Canucks
Head coach
Steve Meehan
Captain
Andrew Quattrin
Union
Rugby Canada
Emblem
Maple leaf
First match
1870 9–8 (Osaka, Japan; 31 January 1932)
Most caps
Aaron Carpenter (80)
Leading scorer
James Pritchard (607)
Most tries
D. T. H. van der Merwe (38)
World Cups
9, from 1987
Best World Cup
Quarter-finals (1991)

From Wikipedia, read 2026-08-20. Not an input to any forecast — the rating does not know who is coaching.

Recent results
  • Portugal2025-11-22 · away2733lost
  • Georgia2025-11-15 · away1738lost
  • Romania2025-11-08 · away2131lost
  • Spain2025-07-19 · home2324lost
  • Belgium2025-07-12 · home1825lost

Newest first, from Canada's own point of view. Home and away are as the record stores them; a fixture the record does not mark neutral is listed as one side's home, which is right for a league round and wrong for a final played at a third ground.

Shape
Matches decided by seven or fewer22%
Matches totalling 50 or more72%
Margin swing19.3 points
Last five, most recent firstlostlostlostlostlostL5

Biggest win: 40-15 v Brazil

Heaviest defeat: 12-73 v Scotland

Where they stand (of 23 ranked teams)
Rating13
13Q1 35Med 46Q3 6485

Below average — bottom 4%

Box is the middle half of the ranked field, line is the median, dot is Canada. The scale is this domain's own and does not compare across the two.

Most similar teams

Teams that play alike sit close together. The two axes hold 67% of the variation between teams. Component 1 (45%) rises with more average margin, less points conceded. Component 2 (22%) rises with more high-scoring matches and margin swing.

9 of 45 teams sit too close together to name without covering another team's point, so they are drawn unlabelled. Every dot is still a link to that team, and its name is in the tooltip.

  1. 1Lithuania0.01
  2. 2Japan0.31
  3. 3Hungary0.60
  4. 4Croatia0.60
  5. 5Italy0.69

Distance in the projection above, nearest first.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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