Fiji v Georgia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
17 – 12
30 September 2023Stade Matmut-Atlantique, Bordeaux
What the model says about Fiji v Georgia
- Kick-off
- 15:45 UTC
- Elevation
- 3 m
- Temperature
- 20.5 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 9 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 1 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Fiji
- 1Eroni Mawi
- 2Sam Matavesi
- 3Luke Tagi
- 4Isoa Nasilasila
- 5Te Ahiwaru Cirikidaveta
- 6Lekima Tagitagivalu
- 7Levani Botia
- 8Viliame Mata
- 9Simione Kuruvoli
- 10Teti Tela
- 11Semi Radradra
- 12Josua Tuisova
- 13Waisea Nayacalevu(c)
- 14Selestino Ravutaumada
- 15Ilaisa Droasese
Replacements
Georgia
- 1Mikheil Nariashvili
- 2Tengiz Zamtaradze
- 3Beka Gigashvili
- 4Lasha Jaiani
- 5Konstantine Mikautadze
- 6Mikheil Gachechiladze
- 7Beka Saginadze
- 8Tornike Jalagonia
- 9Vasil Lobzhanidze
- 10Luka Matkava
- 11Davit Niniashvili
- 12Giorgi Kveseladze
- 13Demur Tapladze
- 14Akaki Tabutsadze
- 15Mirian Modebadze
Replacements
- 16Luka Nioradze
- 17Nika Abuladze
- 18Irakli Aptsiauri
- 19Nodar Cheishvili
- 20Luka Ivanishvili
- 21Gela Aprasidze
- 22Tedo Abzhandadze
- 23Tornike Kakhoidze
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Fiji | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 55.0% | Possession | 45.0% |
| 56.0% | Territory | 44.0% |
Attack
| Fiji | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 490m | Carry metres | 480m |
| 6 | Clean breaks | 7 |
| 17 | Defenders beaten | 28 |
| 12 | Offloads | 8 |
| 188 | Passes | 134 |
Defence
| Fiji | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 108 | Tackles made | 196 |
| 71.0% | Tackle success | 82.0% |
| 28 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 17 |
| 7 | Dominant tackles | 23 |
| 10 | Turnovers won | 9 |
Set pieces
| Fiji | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0% | Lineout success | 78.0% |
| 11 | Lineouts won | 7 |
| 69.0% | Scrum success | 88.0% |
| 9 | Scrums won | 7 |
Breakdown
| Fiji | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 98.0% | Ruck success | 93.0% |
| 106 | Rucks won | 68 |
| 4 | Mauls won | 2 |
Kicking
| Fiji | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kicks from hand | 26 |
| 630m | Kick metres | 911m |
Discipline
| Fiji | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | — |
| 16 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 7 |
Scoring
| Fiji | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tries | — |
| 2 | Conversions | — |
| 1 | Penalty goals | 4 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.