Georgia vs Zimbabwe
What the model says about this fixture, at either ground and at a neutral one, with the record behind it. Ratings as at 2026-10-18.
Georgia 94.8%4.2% ZimbabweZimbabwe 11.6%87.4% GeorgiaGeorgia 91.3%7.7% ZimbabweEach figure is 5,000 simulations of this fixture. The score is where those runs are centred, not a likely scoreline — a rugby result is spread far too widely for any single one to be likely.
Make it your call
Pick your own scoreline for Georgia v Zimbabwe, see where it lands among the simulated runs, and save a card to post.
Build a shareable predictionHow the runs finished
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations of this fixture. Bars right of the centre are Georgia wins; the faded bars at each end hold everything beyond 75 points.
Margin percentiles
- Middle 8 in 10
- Middle half
- Median
- Level
- Average
Eight runs in ten finished between 2 Georgia and 52 Georgia, half of them between 8 Georgia and 37 Georgia, with the middle run at 21 Georgia.
Those are gaps rather than scorelines. How much scoring the match produces is drawn separately — between 35 and 82 points in eight runs out of ten — so one bar covers many scores. The middle run above is 33-12 on a tight afternoon and 45-24 on an open one.
Why Georgia are favoured
How the model arrives at the chance of Georgia winning. It starts at an even 50%, and each line below adds to that or takes from it, in percentage points (pp): a bar to the right helps Georgia, a bar to the left helps Zimbabwe.
Georgia 1899, Zimbabwe 1293 — 606 points, favouring Georgia
Georgia are at home
Recent results, past meetings between the two sides, and days of rest. It has a limit, so it can nudge the rating but never overrule it.
Head to head
Georgia2–0–1Zimbabwe3 meetings, 1989 to 1990 · Georgia by 7.7 on average
| Date | Match | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1990-04-21 | Zimbabwe 10–26 Georgia | — | Police Ground |
| 1990-04-14 | Zimbabwe 22–16 Georgia | — | Hartsfield |
| 1989-09-12 | Georgia 16–3 Zimbabwe | — | City Grounds |
A dash under Competition means the record does not name one, which is common — most rows on file carry no competition. None of this feeds the forecast: both ratings already contain these results.