Rugby World Cup 2027

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hong Kong China wins.

Middle half of outcomes: New Zealand by 39 to New Zealand by 8 · median New Zealand by 22

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 36 and 83 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a New Zealand by 22 is 34-12 as readily as 46-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chile wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Australia by 29 to Australia by 5 · median Australia by 15

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Australia by 15 is 28-13 as readily as 39-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Romania wins.

Middle half of outcomes: South Africa by 39 to South Africa by 9 · median South Africa by 22

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 39 and 88 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a South Africa by 22 is 35-13 as readily as 48-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Georgia wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Italy by 14 to Georgia by 4 · median Italy by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Italy by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Canada wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Argentina by 38 to Argentina by 8 · median Argentina by 22

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 36 and 82 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Argentina by 22 is 34-12 as readily as 46-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Spain wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Fiji by 25 to Spain by 1 · median Fiji by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Fiji by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 36-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Portugal wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ireland by 37 to Ireland by 8 · median Ireland by 21

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ireland by 21 is 32-11 as readily as 44-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Uruguay wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Scotland by 33 to Scotland by 6 · median Scotland by 17

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 80 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Scotland by 17 is 30-13 as readily as 43-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Samoa wins.

Middle half of outcomes: France by 37 to France by 9 · median France by 21

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a France by 21 is 32-11 as readily as 44-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are USA wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Japan by 27 to Japan by 1 · median Japan by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Japan by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 37-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zimbabwe wins.

Middle half of outcomes: England by 26 to England by 1 · median England by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a England by 11 is 25-14 as readily as 35-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Tonga wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Wales by 35 to Wales by 7 · median Wales by 19

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Wales by 19 is 31-12 as readily as 42-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New Zealand wins.

Middle half of outcomes: New Zealand by 8 to New Zealand by 38 · median New Zealand by 21

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 80 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a New Zealand by 21 is 32-11 as readily as 44-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Australia wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Australia by 7 to Australia by 37 · median Australia by 20

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Australia by 20 is 32-12 as readily as 43-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are South Africa wins.

Middle half of outcomes: South Africa by 8 to South Africa by 37 · median South Africa by 21

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a South Africa by 21 is 32-11 as readily as 44-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Italy wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Italy by 7 to Italy by 37 · median Italy by 19

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Italy by 19 is 31-12 as readily as 42-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Argentina wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Argentina by 9 to Argentina by 38 · median Argentina by 21

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Argentina by 21 is 32-11 as readily as 44-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fiji wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Fiji by 6 to Fiji by 37 · median Fiji by 20

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Fiji by 20 is 32-12 as readily as 44-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ireland wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ireland by 5 to Ireland by 34 · median Ireland by 17

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 80 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ireland by 17 is 30-13 as readily as 42-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scotland wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Scotland by 8 to Scotland by 37 · median Scotland by 21

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Scotland by 21 is 32-11 as readily as 44-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are France wins.

Middle half of outcomes: France by 8 to France by 37 · median France by 21

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 81 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a France by 21 is 32-11 as readily as 44-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Japan wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Samoa by 3 to Japan by 20 · median Japan by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Japan by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 33-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are England wins.

Middle half of outcomes: England by 8 to England by 37 · median England by 20

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a England by 20 is 32-12 as readily as 44-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Wales wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Zimbabwe by 9 to Wales by 6 · median Zimbabwe by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Zimbabwe by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Australia wins.

Middle half of outcomes: New Zealand by 21 to New Zealand by 1 · median New Zealand by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a New Zealand by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hong Kong China wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chile by 23 to Hong Kong China by 1 · median Chile by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chile by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Italy wins.

Middle half of outcomes: South Africa by 37 to South Africa by 9 · median South Africa by 22

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a South Africa by 22 is 32-10 as readily as 43-21.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Romania wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Georgia by 33 to Georgia by 5 · median Georgia by 17

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Georgia by 17 is 29-12 as readily as 41-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fiji wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Argentina by 24 to a draw · median Argentina by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Argentina by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 36-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Canada wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Spain by 23 to Spain by 2 · median Spain by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Spain by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 36-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scotland wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ireland by 8 to Scotland by 6 · median Ireland by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ireland by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Portugal wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Uruguay by 17 to Portugal by 5 · median Uruguay by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Uruguay by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Japan wins.

Middle half of outcomes: France by 31 to France by 6 · median France by 16

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a France by 16 is 29-13 as readily as 41-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Samoa wins.

Middle half of outcomes: USA by 5 to Samoa by 15 · median Samoa by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Samoa by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 32-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Wales wins.

Middle half of outcomes: England by 21 to England by 1 · median England by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a England by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zimbabwe wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Zimbabwe by 1 to Zimbabwe by 29 · median Zimbabwe by 13

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Zimbabwe by 13 is 28-15 as readily as 39-26.