Ireland v France
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
9 – 10
6 February 1999Aviva Stadium, Dublin
What the model says about Ireland v France
- Kick-off
- 14:15 UTC
- Elevation
- 0 m
- Temperature
- 6.9 °C
- Rainfall
- 2.2 mm
- Wind
- 27 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 13 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Ireland
- 1Paul Wallace
- 2Keith Wood+3.6
- 3Peter Clohessy
- 4Paddy Johns(c)
- 5Jeremy Davidson
- 7Victor Costello-4.5
- 7Eric Miller-2.2
- 8Dion O'Cuinneagain
- 9Conor McGuinness
- 10David Humphreys
- 11Girvan Dempsey+0.1
- 12Jonathan Bell
- 13Kevin Maggs
- 14Justin Bishop
- 15Conor O'Shea
Replacements
- 16Rob Henderson-2.2
- 17Justin Fitzpatrick-4.2
- 18Trevor Brennan
- 19Ciaran Scally
- 20Mick Galwey
- 21Eric Elwood
- 22Ross Nesdale
France
- 1Christian Califano-10.0
- 2Raphael Ibanez(c)-4.5
- 3Franck Tournaire
- 4Fabien Pelous+1.3
- 5Olivier Brouzet
- 7Philippe Benetton
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Thomas Lievremont-3.7
- 9Philippe Carbonneau
- 10Thomas Castaignede-2.7
- 11Thomas Lombard
- 12Franck Comba
- 13Richard Dourthe
- 14Philippe Bernat-Salles
- 15Emile Ntamack
Replacements
- 16Sylvain Marconnet+0.2
- 17Thierry Cleda
- 18Arthur Gomes
- 19David Aucagne
- 21Marc dal Maso
- 21Marc Raynaud
- 22Christophe Laussucq
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.