Team profiles

Ireland

Five years of results, read from this team's own point of view.

Rating

74

Elite — top 9% of the field · Glicko-2 1884 ±77

Record

46-0-11

80.7% of 57 matches in the last five years

Average margin

+14.4

31.9 for, 17.5 against

Home advantage

+7.0

Points per match better at home

Attack

+25%

31.9 scored per match, against the placed field's average

Defence

+37%

17.5 conceded per match; positive is fewer than average

About the team
Head coach
Andy Farrell
Captain
Caelan Doris
Union
Irish Rugby Football Union
Emblem
Shamrock with rugby ball
Home ground
Aviva Stadium
First match
ENG 7–0 (Kennington, England; 15 February 1875)
Most caps
Cian Healy (137)
Leading scorer
Johnny Sexton (1,108)
Most tries
Brian O'Driscoll (46)
World Cups
10, from 1987
Best World Cup
Quarter-finals (1987, 1991, 1995, 2003, 2011, 2015, 2019, 2023)

From Wikipedia, read 2026-08-20. Not an input to any forecast — the rating does not know who is coaching.

Recent results

Newest first, from Ireland's own point of view. Home and away are as the record stores them; a fixture the record does not mark neutral is listed as one side's home, which is right for a league round and wrong for a final played at a third ground.

Shape
Matches decided by seven or fewer28%
Matches totalling 50 or more47%
Margin swing21.9 points
Last five, most recent firstlostwonwonwonwonL1

Biggest win: 106-7 v Portugal

Heaviest defeat: 19-42 v New Zealand

Where they stand (of 23 ranked teams)
Rating74
13Q1 35Med 46Q3 6485

Elite — top 9% of the field

Box is the middle half of the ranked field, line is the median, dot is Ireland. The scale is this domain's own and does not compare across the two.

Most similar teams

Teams that play alike sit close together. The two axes hold 67% of the variation between teams. Component 1 (45%) rises with more average margin, less points conceded. Component 2 (22%) rises with more high-scoring matches and margin swing.

10 of 45 teams sit too close together to name without covering another team's point, so they are drawn unlabelled. Every dot is still a link to that team, and its name is in the tooltip.

  1. 1South Africa0.29
  2. 2Finland0.76
  3. 3New Zealand0.86
  4. 4France1.20
  5. 5Scotland1.37

Distance in the projection above, nearest first.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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