Scotland v Ireland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
30 – 13
20 March 1999Scottish Gas Murrayfield, Edinburgh
What the model says about Scotland v Ireland
- Kick-off
- 15:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 49 m
- Temperature
- 6.9 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.5 mm
- Wind
- 28 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 7 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Scotland
- 1Tom Smith
- 2Gordon Bulloch
- 3Paul Burnell
- 4Scott Murray
- 5Stuart Grimes
- 6Peter Walton
- 7Martin Leslie
- 8Eric Peters
- 9Gary Armstrong(c)
- 10Gregor Townsend
- 11Kenny Logan
- 12John Leslie-1.3
- 13Alan Tait
- 14Cammie Murray
- 15Glenn Metcalfe
Replacements
- 16Dave Hilton
- 17Budge Pountney
- 18Shaun Longstaff
- 19Steve Brotherstone
- 20Iain Fairley
- 21Craig Chalmers
- 22Andy Reed
Ireland
- 1Peter Clohessy
- 2Keith Wood+3.6
- 3Paul Wallace
- 4Paddy Johns(c)
- 5Jeremy Davidson
- 6Dion O'Cuinneagain
- 7Andy Ward
- 8Eric Miller-2.2
- 9Conor McGuinness
- 10David Humphreys
- 11Girvan Dempsey+0.1
- 12Jonathan Bell
- 13Kevin Maggs
- 14Justin Bishop
- 15Conor O'Shea
Replacements
- 16Victor Costello-4.5
- 17Rob Henderson-2.2
- 18Trevor Brennan
- 19Ciaran Scally
- 20Justin Fitzpatrick-4.2
- 21Eric Elwood
- 22Ross Nesdale
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.