South Africa v Australia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
10 – 9
14 August 1999DHL Newlands, Cape Town
What the model says about South Africa v Australia
- Kick-off
- 15:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 24 m
- Temperature
- 14.7 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 27 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 8 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
South Africa
- 1Os du Randt+3.9
- 2Naka Drotske
- 3Cobus Visagie
- 4Selborne Boome
- 5Albert van den Berg-6.0
- 6Andre Vos
- 7Andre Venter
- 8Johan Erasmus
- 9Joost van der Westhuizen(c)
- 10Jannie de Beer
- 11Pieter Rossouw
- 12Brendan Venter
- 13Robbie Fleck
- 14Deon Kayser
- 15Percy Montgomery+0.2
Replacements
- 16Breyton Paulse-2.6
- 17Ollie le Roux
- 18Mark Andrews
- 19Ruben Kruger
- 20Chris Rossouw
- 21Werner Swanepoel
- 22Gaffie du Toit
Australia
- 1Richard Harry
- 2Phil Kearns
- 3Andrew Blades
- 4David Giffin+0.8
- 5Tom Bowman
- 6Matt Cockbain
- 7David Wilson(c)
- 8Toutai Kefu
- 9George Gregan
- 10Tim Horan
- 11Joe Roff-6.5
- 12Nathan Grey+10.3
- 13Dan Herbert
- 14Ben Tune-0.3
- 15Matt Burke
Replacements
- 16Tiaan Strauss
- 17Patricio Noriega
- 18Mark Connors
- 19Jason Little
- 20Rod Kafer
- 21Michael Foley
- 22Chris Whitaker
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.